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[虚拟币交流]
9月15号行情分析，上周行情BTC未稳116待回调，SOL/DOGE 重仓见效（转）
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行情回顾：老大
0 r! \: u2 T& j8 B9 R5 v昨日最高：
% w9 ^8 q: G9 T116165
. f8 k: q8 A3 o t1 |7 g，最低
- W' Q- k6 E( A: }6 l9 ^" b' ]; ~* h115135' k* C: f( T/ i/ K1 `# {( T2 M
，波动2 h" |3 v, I u, A' P
1030+ |5 Y) ?$ a8 F; x3 G+ J. ?! C
个点，
7 T; t; g$ J& t4 E$ v; v1 E4 r老二
- `; P& L# ]2 t3 e) o* F昨日最高：
, x! E) S( f3 ]( `0 ~6 \/ W$ X; @4692，, }! n. s" F+ @# J ?$ A) [( [, K D
最低：% m. _% [0 {5 u, @; }7 C. m* q
4576" e' K7 f: g6 y$ e
，波动6 j5 ^. f* H7 T# q* M/ Q
116
$ C) y; r% q5 j个点，昨天
& K+ K$ S4 l: S周日$ E* }0 _; _; Q# A5 _) b
上周整体行情表现可圈可点，但核心关键位突破仍需等待：BTC 无论是日线还是周线级别，均未在 116 位置实现企稳，这几天多次触及该点位后都伴随小幅回踩，尚未形成直接突破的势头 Q/ Z6 R; e0 `& k& x
ETH 则展现出后续发力的态势，最高冲至 4760 附近，虽未完全触及 4800 一线，但动能已逐步释放。不过从走势健康度来看，我更期待出现一波回踩调整 —— 正如 9 月 2 日帖子中提到的，若先经历回调再开启上冲，行情结构会更稳固，后续在 BTC 带动下，还能再推动一波行情，进而带动山寨币走强
- G( _( [: J' ]: g6 X- s当前山寨市场仍以轮动为主，不少币种上冲后很快进入回调，缺乏持续性；但也有像 SOL 这样保持稳定增长的标的，这也是当初选择重仓 SOL 与 DOGE 的核心原因 —— 它们不会出现 “爆拉后立刻暴跌” 的剧烈波动，收益更具确定性。从目前表现来看，这一布局已见成效，因此当前仍维持持仓状态，后续持续看好其走势
3 o! ?( r; B" Q# ^7 t( A本周需将重点放回 BTC 与 ETH：双币的回调力度、关键位企稳情况，将直接决定后续市场整体节奏，尤其是能否为山寨币创造新一轮轮动机会，需密切跟踪
' L* ]5 X; y& k: u: y今日周一看点：$ i6 L; W9 F4 Q2 g
BTC
- T9 D! f) p* w4 Y, ?# y6 g) zBTC 日线级别尚未完全突破并站稳 116 关键位（结合语境推测为 116000），且四小时级别已出现回调信号，本周需重点关注 113-114 区间的支撑强度，从走势预期来看，若价格能触及 113-114 支撑后再启动反攻，后续突破 116 并企稳的概率更高，站稳后也能更顺畅地向 118-122 区间推进，行情持续性会更强；但如果 BTC 选择横盘盘整，未回踩至该支撑区间便直接上冲，即便后续能突破 118 上方，也可能因缺乏回调蓄力而导致走势后劲不足，难以维持强势趋势，整体而言，当前仍看好 BTC 后续表现，核心在于做好 113-114 区间的支撑防守 —— 能触及支撑后反攻是更优路径，即便不回踩直接上冲，也需提前做好风险预防，确保行情节奏符合预期6 I# F# K7 g1 H/ N7 [# i: }; O
ETH6 Y9 {) Z$ H/ b; B# ?7 ~5 Q
ETH日线级别和周线级别上目前的收线都还行，目前收线4600是企稳了，同比BTC的116位置，按照正常的走势来看ETH后续的勃发还是会比BTC强，但是这轮还是属于BTC带动市场，后续也是一样，所以多关注下大饼的走势即可，只要大饼不大跌的情况下，山寨方面的跌幅都不会很大，ETH这轮的重点还是需要关注4800-5100区间的，也就是在5000左右这是一个节点位置，会不会看很高，也是要看后面的表现的，先看这个位置就好了，目前日线级别和四小时大级别的防守在4400-4500区间一线，同比大饼的113-114区间一线，如果说这轮大饼回调这个位置就注意这个二饼的防守区间即可，同样的目前走势是企稳4600位置一线的，希望是能回调下这个支撑在反冲是最好的，如果不回调到这个支撑位置也不妨碍，因为目前我们的持仓都没有怎么变动，行情是看持续上涨的，所以回调不回调稍微注意下就行1 b* E, ]3 i$ E" ~) R
山寨4 R: j# E& q* E* j# I2 d L8 p
这波布局的山寨可以再回看下
% ~9 p" [* M' Z% o& U3 z9 @ENA 0.4-0.42开始喊可以进场，现货最高翻倍，后面回调0.56叫大家继续进场，每次回调都有喊进场，突破0.6又叫大家一起追多，目标位0.8以上直营，整体收益最少50%以上
1 A+ |# y3 i; i4 T$ C* `0 J, e重仓的DOGE SOLdoge是在0.2-0.23区间一直在强调重仓进场 目前最高0.3 现在还在持仓中SOL 在180-185区间重仓喊入 ，目前依旧在持仓等待其他的小级别山寨WLD目前是在0.8-1.0区间一直在推荐关注，达到1.8-2.0出局，基本上走在最高点PEOPLE目前是在0.018-0.02区间推荐，还在持仓中JTO表现的是很弱势 目前没有什么特别亮眼的表现，进场价都在1.8-1.9区间，现在距离成本没有多少距离，基本上可以说是成本附近一线，等待后续的爆发
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116这坎儿过不去我就不敢重仓，SOL和DOGE拿稳了等风来 |
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