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[虚拟币交流]
美联储会议周前风险偏好回升，黄金价格停顿是比特币的脉搏（转）
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本周，黄金价格破纪录的涨势暂时告一段落，因交易员在美联储 10 月份政策决定公布前获利了结，黄金连续八周上涨的势头戛然而止。此次回落缓解了避险需求，并且数周以来首次将部分注意力重新转向包括比特币在内的风险资产比特币[url=]$111,700.54[/url].
. @& r; B4 {& @- f
0 |2 u+ e8 P! q+ _ R现货金价较周一触及的4,380美元/盎司的历史高点下跌逾6%，周末收于4,120美元附近。此次回调受获利了结、交易所交易基金(ETF)大量流出以及中美贸易关系基调转变等因素推动。 两国官员表示，他们在关键贸易问题上达成了“初步共识”，缓解了人们对新一轮关税周期的担忧，而新一轮关税周期曾导致金价上涨。 美国财政部长斯科特·贝森特周日表示：“对中国商品征收 100% 关税的威胁实际上已经不存在了。”此前，在马来西亚举行的为期两天的会谈为特朗普总统和习近平主席达成更广泛的协议奠定了基础。 宏观经济环境走弱，加之美联储本周将再次降息25个基点的预期，令黄金的抛物线式涨势黯然失色。在周三美联储决议公布前，白银和铂金价格也大幅下跌，显示出市场将出现回调的迹象。 但对于 BTC 来说，这个时机可能很偶然。 在本季度大部分时间落后于黄金之后，比特币在过去一周上涨了 5% 以上，重新回到了 113,500 美元的水平，摆脱了长达一个月的窄幅波动。 据悉，此举正值比特币/黄金比率（衡量比特币相对于黄金的相对价值）出现近三年来最严重的超卖之际. 该比率的 14 天相对强弱指数 (RSI) 上周跌至 22.20，低于 2 月份的低点，为 2022 年 11 月以来的最低水平。从历史上看，BTC/黄金比率的这种极端情况与比特币的局部底部相吻合，随后通常会出现一段时间的优异表现，因为一旦宏观恐慌消退，交易员就会重新转向高贝塔资产。
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