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[虚拟币交流]
以太坊 ETF 流入资金达 18.5 亿美元——是比特币的 25 倍！（转）
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ETH ETF 的周净流入量是 BTC ETF 的 25 倍，推动 CME ETH 基差交易量接近 12%。现在能达到 4000 美元吗？
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以太坊[ETH]已经翻转比特币[BTC]ETF 流入量。7 月 21 日至 25 日当周，ETH ETF 净流入 18.5 亿美元，约为 BTC ETF 净流入量 7200 万美元的 25 倍。
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目前，ETH ETF 组合持有的总资产超过 200 亿美元。其中一半是由贝莱德的ETHA 最近突破了 100 亿美元。
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对冲基金追逐ETH基差交易
" c9 i9 d; z/ n! L* _! [但 ETH ETF 的显著流动似乎主要是由寻求基础交易的对冲基金推动的。
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9 ~! B8 {( w# I% `. ]这是基金买入现货 ETH ETF 并在 CME（芝加哥商品交易所）期货上做空资产时出现的价差。' g8 O# V# j0 k0 U9 C/ F/ F1 S
2 a8 W) a6 w) Z8 G0 v事实上，芝商所期货未平仓合约也强化了上述基础交易论点。Velodata显示，ETH 的兴趣激增至近 200 万个硬币，而 CME 期货上的 BTC 只有 15 万个。; d6 Y, z! H9 R$ Q# \0 c5 y. r E+ m
/ Z" ^5 [' T: m' K# N( L& ]/ B此外，ETH CME 年化基差本周从 8% 飙升至近 12%。% ^" j4 p1 L& [
/ m1 u* h `% s同期，BTC 基差上涨了 9.4%，证实了过去一周 ETH ETF 资金流与 BTC 资金流的差异可能是由基差交易推动的。2 J% O: }; Z2 i) g2 [
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ETH/BTC 比率则表明情况并非如此
, f$ L. P2 o. ~2 \事实上，ETF 流量的巨大差异几乎没有影响 ETH/BTC 比率，该比率是衡量顶级加密资产之间资本轮换的指标。
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与前一周 ETH/BTC 上涨 28%（这意味着资金从 BTC 转向 ETH）不同，该指标静音 本星期。
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难怪大多数山寨币的价格下降，因为 ETH/BTC 比率是山寨币市场领域的晴雨表之一。/ q3 d; A2 u2 I" r: x
/ a t4 b9 K* B! {6 P+ ]% w现货需求也受到追捧
' r4 K6 \1 [6 w! f但现货 ETH 也存在真正的需求，尤其是来自财务公司领先预期的稳定币和代币化热潮。. e5 k b/ m( p0 [1 M! N8 N6 [* a
& n# {0 m& F" t( _* B. }, X事实上，Ark Invest 的 Cathie Wood著名的最近从验证者那里赎回 ETH 的热潮部分是受到 ETH 国库券需求的推动，因为 ETH 国库券的潜在回报为 2 倍。
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Coinbase 分析师也强调了类似的立场，额外,) }4 f" h; w4 d# k' \/ x
* t* E) L5 L% |5 [# B- b4 L“我们认为，这（解除质押需求）描绘了市场为了应对收益机会的变化而重新分配资本的图景，而不是对 ETH 或生态系统失去信心。”
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% q; e+ s0 w" ~这种转变是合理的。质押奖励仅为 3%，而基础交易的奖励高达 12%，几乎是 ETH 资金库潜在回报的 2 倍。9 _8 z5 I/ `. @
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ETH 这波像换了马达，ETF 热钱狂涌、基差狂飙、CME爆仓量创新高，4000美金不是梦，关键就看现货跟不跟！; S" e: D' u' p! U8 a/ H& I Z
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