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上次分享了第一篇,这次继续来分享第二篇。 % ~2 A- |3 r, d
- E- M9 G6 G7 d% g5 Z3 S/ k/ R5. 废话的不对称原则
8 k6 Z9 V% _. f0 ^$ E( ]反驳废话所需的能量比产生废话要大一个数量级。8 B+ E6 m/ I2 e
) S8 D4 N! v: Q回想: 写 luna 的优点=成千的点赞。4 C& _; I' q, s' O/ G
! S& p9 z1 o0 b
写 luna 的缺点=无数的敌人和谩骂。0 d0 a1 s% e9 Z6 a
1 c2 [- |7 b, \( p0 I: c每个周期,都会有邪教类型的项目,人们无视核心,只因利益一致而拼死维护。
/ ?1 o6 l. j" z8 j3 _
: C; t q4 A- B. r- g而对抗它们需要太多的精力。) Q3 @; V* V: C6 F3 r6 ?
$ v+ Q5 _0 m4 ^7 n8 [* M" \! D6.风险不可知原则(黑天鹅)
$ `/ L. @" K$ ^7 B: m被知道的风险:智能合约漏洞。
; r/ G# H+ w4 V+ ^
0 g1 n; P$ V& t8 O+ G不可知的风险:911、3箭崩溃等。
9 D) j3 i& L2 f# l+ p2 M1 p) J# ^
9 v+ O6 P9 K* { P: Y: t" h" o因为不可知的风险一直存在,只有多样化才能防范。
8 X9 j5 R/ N& p M; v/ k# P
& x4 f# B& \: ]: `想象一下罕见事件:
* B& Y) ^$ U- n0 m
, `/ I( }3 Q# y9 U0 ^6 {& N1 c, D: h• 中本聪的钱包苏醒
) d- ]+ z* w5 A: R3 I8 K% q5 E5 |) B. a# a' u
• 核打击
# g/ }) H+ F$ _* Y- W. _+ b+ e7 J) o
我们倾向于低估黑天鹅的影响!7 r n; x' _9 w) J# I
' _8 }; Y" I- K! `
7.二八定律
' u' ]& u% Y& L4 m; f5 r+ t+ j在币圈:( \3 d6 L( D) }7 C2 E; q
) @2 F% {# ?# ]2 Q& d4 W4 K8 ?7 m1 _+ f, g
80% 的收入来自 20% 的协议。3 H8 k' {; z. L( K0 a
! P. j' ?% r# z: z0 }
80%的利润被20%的人拿走。! _$ d6 |. M/ I7 o
8 Q& O# s- m: {$ a$ l/ ]我们大多数时候是8,而不是2,时刻警惕这一点。
( `/ l. _! R# ^5 J; g, k3 f1 t) \
8.网络效应+ M- h8 `+ B& u% Y0 {
产品随着更多用户加入而更有价值。
6 o; ^& ?; V0 J. |- o. r: _1 @3 }& b+ R# H) Z& `" U- h' q
想想脸书如果没人使用会有什么价值?0 U$ q8 |$ C8 D4 {: ^7 }; Z( A( S
4 ]! C, M7 z4 @
一个产品产生了网络效应,就成为了护城河。/ P) ?; @+ A* B/ T- U: z
! p s3 s% @/ |" M投资时,要考虑什么产品能产生护城河。 往往只有一个产品能获胜。9 D8 ^5 ^3 ?# d0 ^. Y% a& H
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