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 本帖最后由 天策-柳妞 于 2021-10-1 13:48 编辑 1 {* k0 j5 ^! e/ W9 B 
 
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在上个月比特币惨跌12%论坛也有会员提问到底虚拟币会不会在这个月反弹呢?与此同时,美股也面临压力,9月可能是标准普尔500指数表现最差的月份。根据Arcane Research发布的一份报告,在近期市场风险偏好下降期间,加密货币与标准普尔500指数90日趋势的相关性显著增强。  
% L, F4 S9 h/ U+ p: T& xNational Securities首席策略师Art Hogan在接受采访时认为是合理的,因为当其他高风险资产下跌时,比特币也会下跌。据金融机构统计在过去的十年里,9月是比特币未能实现正回报的唯一月份。比特币在9月遭受了许多打击,包括萨尔瓦多阻止比特币作为法定货币的政策执行,以及美国和其他国家加强监管。 ) L$ `( ?0 u) {; S9 s 
这些变化也给其它加密货币带来了压力。跟踪一些大型加密货币的Galaxy Crypto指数本月下跌约16%,也是5月以来跌幅最大的月份。Miller Tabak + Co. 首席市场策略师Matt Maley说:美国和其他国家对比特币的态度在短期内限制了比特币的上涨,投资者开始担心更多的国家会对加密货币采取限制措施。比特币在9月30日一度跌至40,906.4美元,近期比特币正频频冲击其100日均线,截至9月30日均线价格约为41,048美元。当日比特币价格反弹,截至发稿,该币上涨1%,报42、267.8美元/枚。TD Ameritrade首席市场策略师JJ Kinahan在电话采访中说:你会看到很多资产受到冲击,比如商品、股票、债券,当然还有加密货币。许多人认为这是一种风险较高的资产,所以当我看到它像其他资产一样下跌时,我并不感到惊讶。  
1 U* A: N9 c5 D- H% h1 d( IMaley说:关注4万美元的支撑线。一旦跌破这个价格,交易员将在短时间内降低这个资产类别的配置比例。然而,一些媒体认为,到10月份,情况可能会发生变化。据金融机构统计,比特币在过去10年中的平均增长率约为13%。 ; ^+ H# }, {1 G) x 
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