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[lastpost] => 2774619 蚂蚁集团发布基于以太坊的L2区块链 料应用于房产、证券等RWA项目-转 1760717572 NBA专家
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1. 宏观因素影响市场走势
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5 m8 e0 A+ |( ^) _" G过去一周市场涨跌主要受宏观经济数据影响,包括美国未来的降息预期、上周的非农数据和失业率,以及本周即将公布的PPI与CPI数据。9 n' d9 ?" x, N( { C x
2 c d. B) ]& J" B* |& ~PPI助推反弹:昨晚公布的PPI数据低于市场预期,被认为是近期少见的利好消息。PPI同比上涨3.3%(预期3.5%),核心PPI同比上涨3.5%(预期3.8%),这让市场信心得到了一定恢复。
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CPI才是关键:今晚的CPI数据更为重要,市场预期CPI同比为2.9%(前值2.7%),核心CPI预期为3.3%。如果数据能保持在预期或持平的水平,大饼(比特币)可能重回10万美元上方,并延续市场的炒作行情。+ a3 b9 s& |& K" O) h
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2. 比特币市场现状与未来预期( E3 r- }" t% Z; I7 A1 a
8 b, O `$ Q9 a$ M% \7 w- x: D当前持仓成本:
+ o( I* l; q. o& k5 K. r/ ]& `( d! N! G& P+ g
机构的平均持仓成本在8.1万美元左右;" h. ` B8 h! }3 ]
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微策略因早期进场,平均成本约为6.2万美元;# h. _& U' p' Y7 G1 c
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ETF持仓成本约在7万美元上下。
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. ^2 p3 e6 E9 o+ Q4 t4 v6 |比特币价值回归: z6 L: f3 ]2 `2 G
- [9 w1 X% ?" M1 B3 \市场大部分散户的低价筹码已经交割完毕,当前持币主力成本价在6-8万美元区间。
6 s7 u* _% x D8 B( e5 f9 @3 ?- Z. q) b% ?, T5 i
随着更多公司和国家效仿萨尔瓦多将比特币纳入战略储备,比特币的流通将越来越少,机构预测其价格有望达到15万甚至20万美元。
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加密资产的国家效应:萨尔瓦多因比特币政策而成为中美洲金融科技中心,吸引了像Tether这样的大型加密公司入驻。
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" E6 e+ ~ T6 s2 R0 `3. 市场热点与反弹情况: P' H, u. n. y
2 f! C0 ^! {0 [* N" l! rETH:
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+ K! ?: s/ q" a! m虽然受到大量抛售的质疑,但以太坊价格总体稳定,汇率回升至0.033。7 f* ]2 F; L0 w: y
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机构普遍认为以太坊本轮高点或达到1万美元。
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尽管ETF持续外流且贝莱德带头抛售,比特币依然维持强势。
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$ H5 G- f( l( k* j8 N( ?如果今晚CPI数据利好,突破10万美元可能性极大。
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SOL与XRP:) m+ b8 k1 \1 ]1 g; e
, a. @2 i% e" J. j1 b
SOL走势强劲,被认为是AI生态的主导者。摩根大通预计SOL与XRP的ETF即将推出,或吸引150亿美元资金入场。
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XRP走势超强,多次占据韩所榜首,有市场声音预测其价格达到10美元、市值超越以太坊。
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其他热点项目:
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' @' S% p2 t. e9 H6 y: L涉及ETF或政策的项目如$hbar、$algo、$ada等走势同样强劲。
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山寨市场近期普遍上涨,市场预计Q1可能迎来牛市爆发。# R3 z$ L* Z7 M3 m
+ G0 Q1 w5 n5 [- w1 d4. AI赛道与新兴项目- e4 S8 e+ G9 H# q7 a
1 T0 T" D$ N6 h8 G8 T4 T, EAI领域表现突出,板块总市值达160亿美元,近期涨幅明显。& d8 D" S2 N1 o, n& b6 v
3 t+ y! q. J: b. q蓝筹项目:如$ai16z、$virtual和$aixbt等市值迅速攀升,部分实现翻倍增长。
8 J. M' e3 L) j' N- z# ]- J- e' s( J' ?$ g
新兴项目:正经团队推出的AI项目表现稳健,例如$mates和$sora已获得市场认可。
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1 h9 Z- | J" {+ \) `& ^. e+ a市场展望6 u j3 k4 ~$ J# X' J7 w: {5 c9 J3 Z! N
' q' J7 D, f. ~: u$ Q- [: e随着宏观经济环境和政策明朗,加密市场有望迎来更多利好。山寨牛市或在第一季度爆发,AI、主流币、以及新兴应用赛道将继续成为市场焦点。3 A# `" S z% P& O7 L# b
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