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[虚拟币交流]
比特币接近$ 80k的支持：熊会将其推向73,767美元吗？（转）
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比特币低于$ 82K，这表明潜在的更高校正在恐惧和不确定性上增加了8万美元。! `2 z4 s# k1 d0 b7 Y
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在过去的24小时内，加密货币市场的清算量高达2.17亿美元，比特币正在经历急剧的回调。在过去的四天中，比特币下降了6％，低至24小时的低点为81,287美元。
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- H1 E- A; Z' x( @目前，比特币的交易价格为81,993美元，显示出较低的价格拒绝的迹象。这会导致看涨的反弹并防止重新获得80,000美元的支持水平吗？ n% G1 V* { n( R
- g: _& X6 F. y3 O比特币分析警告重新测试，接近$ 80K& f+ A# \$ O* F, C7 U
在每日图表中，比特币的价格动作显示了从架空阻力趋势线中的巨大看跌逆转。这使67.8％的斐波那契水平为$ 86,145，200天EMA接近$ 85,500。
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比特币价格图
8 S7 Y+ R0 P9 M3 ]$ Y有了一系列连续的看跌蜡烛，比特币的斐波那契水平为79,957美元。然而，尽管有看跌压力，但过去三支蜡烛的价格行动较低表明潜在的逆转。5 w7 d) k* T! T* y$ t! {$ _
) t! b% p, O: l5 n5 h然而，下降趋势触发了MACD和信号线的看跌交叉，表明可能进行了陡峭的校正。同时，在50天和200天EMAS中的趋势下降指向黄金跨界。9 f$ Y: S& X% g/ C/ l
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比特币ETF连续流入的几天结束
' m, y" `4 R6 M. e! I尽管看跌市场，比特币ETF看到了流入上周为1.6亿美元，标志着上周7.4435亿美元流入后，连续第二周的积极流入。
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但是，每月净流入为负，为-6.9684亿美元。此外，3月28日，一笔9316万美元的流出结束了连续10天的流入。此流出的大部分来自Fidelity，后者记录了9316万美元的撤离，而其他比特币ETF保持零流量。
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分析师强调比特币运动增加' H7 c0 q& [( I6 |- u' i. `
同时，比特币矿工的信心逐渐下降。根据加密分析师阿里·马丁内斯（Ali Martinez）的说法，比特币矿工在过去一周中售出了2400多个BTC，价值2.2亿美元。来自加密货币的数据表明，比特币矿工储量已从18100万BTC下降到1808万BTC。* N1 a# |, x( W M: A3 d
, V9 p. ~: a9 J# F8 ^) S( x9 X在过去的一周中，#bitcoin $ btc矿工出售了超过2,400 BTC，总计约2.2亿美元。pic.twitter.com/okHtcHT9KQ! I' h' M4 I w* P$ W
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- ali（@ali_charts）2025年3月30日# b' u# i. f, K" O
8 f5 o$ X5 c- t0 l' X9 I此外，由于市场不确定性不断增长，比特币的链活动激增。在过去的几个小时中，比特币持有人已移动1,280 BTC，价值1.06亿美元。
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% o$ g; B5 \; l$ W t此外，在过去一周中，已从交易所撤回了30,000多个BTC。交易所上的比特币供应减少为不确定性增长提供了银色的衬里。
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: Z1 ^ Z! O9 |! a4 I) @' I1 c, W- {超过30,000#bitcoin $ btc过去一周从交流中撤回了@SantimentFeed! pic.twitter.com/EjoXo6JNgi
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0 I, _8 K/ `- B/ e- ali（@ali_charts）2025年3月31日! W4 _% S( q& L- W9 i: I8 H
( d' k/ p7 h+ ]0 W# C+ _结论
( [1 _+ M; P9 O, W交易所和矿工储量下降的比特币供应下降提供了有关市场的矛盾信号。这会产生增加的不确定性，可能导致在任一方向上的价格变动。& L7 U/ G+ Q5 A$ |, |
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但是，普遍的看跌压力表明，由于恐惧的增加而导致进一步下行行动的风险。根据斐波那契水平，对比特币的立即支持在50％的斐波那契水平上接近80,000美元。* V+ I( s9 R) @# d( L
( C5 {+ f' h* }8 E5 U1 x+ V2 |低于此支持的细分可能会导致在斐波那契水平38.2％的73,767级重新测试。另一方面，如果比特币管理看涨的篮板，它的目的可能是将200天EMA重新测试为85,452美元。, F& w* ]$ {, L8 u* l3 p
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