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[lastpost] => 2787508 在比特币自托管之争愈演愈烈之际，ETF 也身陷风暴中心（转） 1765145678 sunnyclare001
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概括
/ j% w6 `- x4 |( Y+ K2 A• Astar/Bitcoin 在 1.4e-07 附近盘整，成交量极低，没有方向性偏向。
! `$ I2 x( L* B6 L8 |3 J% f/ r• 美国东部时间清晨短暂的成交量激增未能引发突破。
" F& o* k- ?- @ i5 i* l* Y. e5 g• RSI 和 MACD 保持中性，没有出现超买或超卖迹象。
1 f. p0 ~* y3 J; t- q0 T- D" }- j• 价格似乎被困在狭窄的布林带收缩区间内。
. z# i/ o: @, j1 t: i! c# ]7 W• 美东时间 09:30 出现的长下影线暗示着轻微的下跌压力。
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# w- c! z. h S) d+ k% y. D/ BAstar/Bitcoin (ASTRBTC) 于美国东部时间 2025 年 12 月 6 日 12:00 开盘价为 1.4e-07，最高价为 1.5e-07，最低价为 1.3e-07，于美国东部时间 2025 年 12 月 7 日 12:00 收盘价为 1.3e-07。24 小时总成交量为 256 万枚，成交额约为 0.36 美元。
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结构与地层& X+ ~) n* w* a* t2 `
& C( C8 T! A( L7 @! Y& ~& |6 v# Y全天大部分时间价格走势都保持在一个狭窄的区间内，表明市场缺乏明确的方向性。( O: I: p+ E) a
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唯一显著的波动出现在美东时间 09:30，当时形成了一根带有长下影线的K线，表明存在轻微的下跌压力，但未能形成明显的趋势。没有出现主要的K线形态，价格仍然在 1.4e-07 附近区间波动。5 X8 S- t7 k2 l; D1 w
移动平均线; |, T: @3 a5 d2 {3 S$ g3 O
2 s9 g7 U2 V' ]4 A2 l: U, I) ~在5分钟图上，20周期和50周期移动平均线在1.4e-07附近几乎重合，强化了横盘整理的趋势。虽然在24小时视图中看不到日线移动平均线（50、100、200），但它们似乎与1.4e-07水平线重合，这表明该水平线是一个关键的心理和结构性点位。
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MACD 和 RSI
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MACD柱状图维持在零附近，显示缺乏强劲的动能。RSI指标全天在45至55之间波动，表明市场情绪中性，既无超买也无超卖。这些指标提示市场正在等待突破区间震荡的催化剂。% |, |0 m) j. w! ]% z# v) y" \
) J; C4 M) q- x" `1 G$ c3 H( x& ]$ n2 z布林带
5 f0 \1 v& Z( r: ?5 v
8 ?* i8 B9 Z; v- B7 _( |0 N布林带呈现明显的收缩形态，价格紧密聚集在中轨附近。这种形态表明波动性较低，存在突破的可能性，但目前的数据并未显示任何突破事件发生。除非出现大宗交易或新闻事件引发价格波动，否则这种窄幅波动可能会持续下去。9 G6 A H1 i4 e2 J3 R$ K
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销量和营业额
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9 \& K# f& r4 D在此期间的大部分时间里，成交量都极低，仅有零星的成交量激增——例如美东时间凌晨 2:30 和上午 9:30——但这些激增不足以引发实质性的价格波动。成交量走势与成交量趋势一致，整体交易活动极少。成交量的低迷印证了市场正处于盘整阶段的观点。
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2 I7 o; x4 S: J8 Q斐波那契回撤$ I2 x0 A6 ?! |" Q. R( J& ^
5 v" L/ H" Y& T( h将斐波那契数列应用于 1.3e-07 和 1.5e-07 之间的小幅波动，38.2% 的回撤位在 1.376e-07，61.8% 的回撤位在 1.424e-07。如果市场出现扭转当前横盘趋势的迹象，这些价位可能成为潜在的入场点。
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展望未来，如果成交量放大，且价格区间的一侧得到有力测试，未来24小时可能出现方向性转变。投资者应密切关注成交量确认或价格突破1.5e-07或1.3e-07的情况，但由于缺乏催化剂，目前的风险仍然较低。1 H0 S4 c8 C. \$ t+ O# z6 ]4 w
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当前离线
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