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[lastpost] => 2775843 为什么人工智能代理需要稳定币(转) 1761170839 sunnyclare001
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1. 宏观因素影响市场走势
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5 Q1 t7 ]$ ^* {& D0 v2 U6 g过去一周市场涨跌主要受宏观经济数据影响,包括美国未来的降息预期、上周的非农数据和失业率,以及本周即将公布的PPI与CPI数据。
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PPI助推反弹:昨晚公布的PPI数据低于市场预期,被认为是近期少见的利好消息。PPI同比上涨3.3%(预期3.5%),核心PPI同比上涨3.5%(预期3.8%),这让市场信心得到了一定恢复。' G0 Y/ A j% b6 _' z- J& T
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CPI才是关键:今晚的CPI数据更为重要,市场预期CPI同比为2.9%(前值2.7%),核心CPI预期为3.3%。如果数据能保持在预期或持平的水平,大饼(比特币)可能重回10万美元上方,并延续市场的炒作行情。, @( W7 d. P3 W+ c
3 h* u; L/ u- W8 b6 c) {- a1 [2. 比特币市场现状与未来预期
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- N2 c/ W% L3 B% {0 b/ ?6 W当前持仓成本:
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2 r# _! _3 N" X _" M. E. C机构的平均持仓成本在8.1万美元左右;
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0 X' U3 i. X' q, ?1 r3 k1 [微策略因早期进场,平均成本约为6.2万美元;
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" e2 y: o' g3 j1 |7 j+ EETF持仓成本约在7万美元上下。% g4 Y3 s; p2 m5 k% b
2 {: g7 [$ Q1 k0 ?
比特币价值回归:0 D3 h$ {: _$ B5 ~
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市场大部分散户的低价筹码已经交割完毕,当前持币主力成本价在6-8万美元区间。9 R3 x1 B. G, A& P
: j4 F6 f0 \8 K8 E4 C" ]随着更多公司和国家效仿萨尔瓦多将比特币纳入战略储备,比特币的流通将越来越少,机构预测其价格有望达到15万甚至20万美元。7 n& H0 z- }8 x" s
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加密资产的国家效应:萨尔瓦多因比特币政策而成为中美洲金融科技中心,吸引了像Tether这样的大型加密公司入驻。# h( }% @5 y* `2 \- P
- ]# f% {/ ^9 I6 f/ _& @9 d" a+ W3. 市场热点与反弹情况- k# ?- P I8 f' v2 {6 J3 s# }) |. [
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ETH:
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虽然受到大量抛售的质疑,但以太坊价格总体稳定,汇率回升至0.033。# y! G6 G+ h- K1 x
* x# g. P3 c" }) S' Q' Y0 R" L% ?机构普遍认为以太坊本轮高点或达到1万美元。
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# }& m6 m: x, n; j6 U H( o) o' f8 O% ^BTC:7 S$ C8 P. }2 [; _
$ ]5 T; J0 J* b尽管ETF持续外流且贝莱德带头抛售,比特币依然维持强势。8 H- I' d" h6 o8 f) }' W& p0 T
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如果今晚CPI数据利好,突破10万美元可能性极大。9 T6 Y0 E, `" \4 q
3 L6 Y7 Z% V( @. iSOL与XRP:
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SOL走势强劲,被认为是AI生态的主导者。摩根大通预计SOL与XRP的ETF即将推出,或吸引150亿美元资金入场。( ^, }& r1 ^) r* ^0 d' F
. g: i+ {) ]; D3 H$ } ]
XRP走势超强,多次占据韩所榜首,有市场声音预测其价格达到10美元、市值超越以太坊。6 b4 j8 P* W" t6 J# D! @+ x
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其他热点项目:; [( V2 K: q) p1 I1 c: d7 t
7 W3 g3 G8 e+ a" ~/ X: ]涉及ETF或政策的项目如$hbar、$algo、$ada等走势同样强劲。
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, L& F5 ^4 r( S0 J/ }7 j山寨市场近期普遍上涨,市场预计Q1可能迎来牛市爆发。5 [% L8 A* G N( G# }
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4. AI赛道与新兴项目3 y& ]& u9 L1 U2 H3 n
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AI领域表现突出,板块总市值达160亿美元,近期涨幅明显。8 Y9 I3 T; j# q2 f
x0 N. K- n' {$ t6 M蓝筹项目:如$ai16z、$virtual和$aixbt等市值迅速攀升,部分实现翻倍增长。
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9 X2 L6 V2 e% [3 }! N9 o- A" P新兴项目:正经团队推出的AI项目表现稳健,例如$mates和$sora已获得市场认可。
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) ? q- H- Y+ i- s市场展望3 d1 j' L* @# h5 y
- {* a- }1 H N/ L9 s, a B- Q随着宏观经济环境和政策明朗,加密市场有望迎来更多利好。山寨牛市或在第一季度爆发,AI、主流币、以及新兴应用赛道将继续成为市场焦点。! P! L: q- P% r) \; Y' N
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