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[虚拟币交流]
比特币优势,山寨币季节的赔率以及这个深层市场重置(转)
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比特币的优势现在超过63%,标志着所有指标的altcoins的看跌环境1 V, L4 s; A; B1 U$ D! z z% d$ x1 G
Stablecoin流动暗示了一个风险阶段,延迟了任何主要的Altcoin突破5 u) ]) a- i5 H+ r1 h. e9 i
似乎比特币[BTC]现在正在收紧对更广泛的加密货币市场的控制。/ \' l) T- M% ^7 ~( g2 r6 m7 m% D
5 A4 b( d, }4 b4 ?! t* P实际上,由于其统治地位超过63%,最新的市场结构可能暗示了对山寨币的艰苦挣扎。' `# g, \/ F0 I) a5 r
; g0 J& \7 E9 G, j! g( ^+ N这种转变由Alphractal首席执行官Joao Wedson在推文中,比特币价格与Altcoin季节指数进行了对比。
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在撰写本文时,不到25%的Altcoins似乎胜过比特币 - 一个教科书比特币季节。
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红色海洋中的四个幸存者: N& |3 B* [; E, F9 M3 w; U
根据Alphractal的说法,在57个AltCoins中,只有4个胜过比特币,该比特币本身在图表上下降了-17.6%。在少数优于表现的人中pancakeswap [蛋糕]发布了唯一的正回报,数字为 +10.5%。. W* _5 }5 t/ i
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简而言之,表现不佳。
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大多数Altcoins返回-20%至-72%,6月的领先损失为-72.4%。尽管比特币自身在图表上下降,但仍然仍然是一个相对的避风港。, @1 F3 J n' J: }* H
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相反,Altcoin“主导”告诉我们同样的故事。
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自11月以来,Altcoin市场份额已从41%下降到37%。除了稳定剂外,它实际上从35%降至28%。8 A2 P8 Q% w8 K! T8 U' j
) u- k* y; R9 W- GAltcoin信誉的消失法案
1 @! x; X( Z6 P# s6 p- @" y& T2 t滤除比特币,以太坊和稳定币的粉刷均匀的图片,相同的股票从23%下降到20%。鉴于所有发生的事情,上述下降仅证实了非比币资产中缺乏投资者的信念。
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交易的势头最近也消失了。$ g. x' r% q5 P# ^1 F- V! ~, h2 K
0 X. R6 [8 z4 h' f: l- p12月5日,Altcoin市值达到了1.43万亿美元的峰值,数量为5426.3亿美元。然而,到4月3日,这些数字降至97564亿美元和1,373.1亿美元,分别降至32%和296%。
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- N% X- \1 J3 W这些数字描绘了投资者信心减弱的图片。% J# _5 a- x9 }& X( e
( ~' I% k% z: Y. e; N x十二月的尖峰没有持续。到3月,在价格和参与中,这种趋势显然已经向南行驶。
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比特币在优势上的上升也与Stablecoin供应率(SSR)的明显信号相吻合。 h3 J' Q* F% n: O+ S7 j; P
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当高峰转向警告时6 O4 M6 y) ]1 o/ z) S/ f' f
2月23日,由于比特币价格和SSR同时达到顶峰,因此2月23日是一个转折点。' G/ P q+ B, G4 D1 w
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比特币以96,209美元的价格达到顶峰,同时为16.03 SSR。但是,在三天之内,两者都急剧逆转。到4月,BTC跌至81,800美元,而SSR降至14.21。3 s, r; m+ `: O& Q$ U
/ h3 U: a5 x `3 ^! R这种比对可以看作是流动性如何移动信号趋势耗尽的迹象。重要的是,尽管比特币自身损失,但其市场的主导地位就上升了,没有下降。
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8 k; q4 e0 d1 h7 k( ^; M3 X" f4 @3 f每个指标都会得出相同的结论 - Altcoin季节很少见,简短且脆弱。比特币优势(现在超过63%)反映了一个合并的市场,资本流入了人们的安全性。6 O4 ?+ `7 @2 W
# m1 ?! Y& p+ Z1 a% o比特币还是胸围?
; s5 n( x* Z1 l; r存在围绕山寨币的短期乐观情绪。但是,数据还表明,如果没有统治性和流动性的结构转移,任何集会都可能保持孤立和简短。
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. K% o, u* Y" x) y3 N E( _# W就目前而言,聪明的钱似乎停在比特币中,或者在等待的地方。5 ~% g. H$ y/ F
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