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[虚拟币交流]
比特币以98,000美元的价格违反了疑问，那么为什么投资者仍然谨慎？（转）
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比特币集会高于$ 98K，与持续的负面投资者情绪形成鲜明对比；难以置信的可能性可能表明机会。7 t* B4 H1 H0 U4 e
大量的ETF流入促进了BTC，但2022年风险的风险仍然可能使这种动力脱轨。
4 Z, p0 x" m" k( H. v: T \尽管比特币[BTC]令人印象深刻的持有超过$ 98K的大关，投资者的情绪越来越低。这引起了一波怀疑，在牛市中，这感觉奇怪的是不合时宜。
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市场是否难以置信，兴奋不已？还是这些信号反映了2022熊市？
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) D2 f% X% C( S$ N' b' Y随着BTC最近的[激增]重点势头，当前的气候可能与基本面一样由心理学来驱动。
" h; }) }! h1 V1 ~8 j H! f) ]$ I7 y& t# W9 X
牛un云蒙上阴影
+ s* {$ \' F' G2 \1 }8 G最近的数据显示比特币X（以前为Twitter）和新闻平台上的价格和普遍情绪。
1 N( t" E+ W$ ` ^+ d6 r0 _& u
( x8 R" N1 j P# d. i$ @+ v: r即使BTC交易自信地超过9.8万美元，平均7天的平均情绪仍然牢固地负面 - 这种模式在历史上与本地底部和逆势购买机会有关。
8 l, S: R6 a* ~7 f: `6 O
: T' M+ B& s. v& l% P$ ? W这种持续的难以置信表明市场在心理上落后于价格行动。: k- I5 ^ T; x
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尽管这种情绪下降以前曾在看涨逆转之前，但值得记住的是2022年的警告性故事，在这种情况下，延长的消极情绪与长时间的熊阶段相吻合。3 C( U5 X: W `: x# Z
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BTC背后的机构引擎0 {3 Z9 G4 i* L" z4 ~3 x( g2 N
在ETF流图表：经过数周的一致流出后，四月迎来了大量ETF流入的政权。
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0 Y: S3 P! X2 y7 N. n这种重新获得的机构兴趣主要由贝莱德（Blackrock）和富达（Fidelity）等巨人领导，似乎使比特币向上驱动了势头，将其推向了9.8万美元的大关。4 t9 J, b% F8 E( I9 f% T1 W
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与较早几个月的挥发性流动不同，该阶段显示出稳定的每日净流入，表明了强烈的长期信念。! R: v3 h, \* }7 y
: T L* U* w4 h5 K' N& A" }机构信心可能是[激增]的关键力量，即使零售情绪仍然谨慎。; A) y' Q5 h' T: \ ]
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怎么了？9 u. |6 m: u: \6 ~8 A
尽管ETF流入信号乐观，但历史使投资者保持谨慎。4 `8 ]( b) I: g! Y, I" J
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2022年，由机构产品和宏观趋势驱动的看涨情绪，由于流动性冲击和杠杆率过多而崩溃。$ n' H5 W9 |6 z# t: z" m7 j5 M( w- {
! M' z9 i$ O- s5 S风险食欲或监管压力的突然转移可能会触发快速流出，从而逆转最近的收益。+ m, p, B) {; U. G( D
; E0 v1 }# N8 @- Q0 t7 z* [4 H尽管ETF提供了透明度，但它们并不能阻止比特币免受市场波动的影响。如果流入缓慢或转向赎回，比特币可能会面临类似于过去周期的抛售。, k3 l$ H6 E6 e4 j
$ N6 X2 }8 x6 q% ~ C+ F$ b |
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