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[lastpost] => 2779475 贝莱德将目光投向澳大利亚，视其为下一个比特币ETF前沿阵地（转） 1762472611 22301
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币下跌，黄金触顶——但 Uptober 尚未结束（转）
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今年十月已经测试了比特币的[BTC]信徒。在通常被称为“Uptober”的月份过半时，BTC 发现自己处于陌生的境地，遭遇了历史上最糟糕的月中表现之一。
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4 F. ~' O3 A4 p7 y, C+ i但你看不到的是，比特币收盘上涨的可能性仍然很大，罕见的BTC-黄金图表细节也表明可能已经触底。& n. \$ p# Q% k% y* f$ L
: A- [% ?+ O2 m/ |& c" \Uptober 能否如期实现目标，还是说这将是它的终结？
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开局艰难，但历史看好牛市/ z5 G9 j1 w- P
2025 年 10 月已经赢得了比特币十月份表现为有记录以来第二糟糕。对于通常看涨的月份来说，这是一个令人惊讶的转折。
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; d U4 |0 N3 J: m6 M' B6 w6 T; `# x来源：Alphractal
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15年来，只有四个10月份收盘下跌。但鉴于比特币最终上涨的可能性高达73%，胜算仍然对比特币有利。6 f4 |# e1 F. [% h
& N* O% ~. p+ D0 x$ K. }. L尽管开局不稳，但许多人相信本月结束前可能会转为看涨，保持这种势头。: \/ n2 |3 b4 o
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事情变得有趣了0 X6 x. S9 f }2 `
BTC/黄金比率中罕见的信号表明形势可能很快就会发生转变。9 j* E3 S8 b5 F/ ^
" E$ F3 N) o2 c: w$ l来源：X
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根据最近的数据，该比率已达到迄今为止仅在主要市场底部出现的水平，而这些时刻往往是从黄金转向比特币的最佳时机。
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6 w/ A3 l1 g% V- [) r e+ ABTC/黄金震荡指标徘徊在-1.8左右，从历史上看，这与BTC开始跑赢黄金的周期低点相关。. z: N. ^' @7 {# r$ @$ J1 H+ J6 w) N4 [
& L" R* @. v* B9 c% E6 a9 ~正如 Alphractal 首席执行官 Joao Wedson 所说，该图表“基本上是在大声疾呼”现在是“出售黄金、购买比特币的时候了”。
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* s' g; A; J' B随着黄金价格处于高位，而比特币出现触底信号，风险回报方程现在可能更倾向于加密货币，而不是传统的避风港。
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6 L- u0 X5 o5 l" w7 |空头在 10.7 万美元附近失去动力7 p9 c9 D2 {0 i; L! h, J8 e' l
经过几天的持续抛售，截至发稿时，比特币似乎稳定在 107,000 美元左右。5 J) \; p8 p* j8 p* m
7 T. r3 ^0 O! C a0 S来源：TradingView
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C' N* J1 r6 y, f$ {/ i8 M日线图显示看跌势头减弱，RSI 指标显示 BTC 处于超卖区域。与此同时，MACD 图柱趋于平缓；如果买盘活跃，则可能出现动能逆转。
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2 I4 e: L1 a( s# _, x( j然而，BTC 的交易价格仍然低于关键 EMA（20、50、100），整体趋势仍看跌。
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突破 110,000 美元的决定性举措可能确认复苏，但在此之前，有点乐观永远不会伤害任何人。
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十月才过一半别急着下结论，比特币这货向来爱搞幺蛾子 |
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这波跌得挺狠，但老韭菜都懂，Uptober还没完呢 |
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