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[lastpost] => 2774316 比特币面临鲸鱼抛售和宏观经济波动的压力 (转） 1760634273 春娇与小智
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K33 Research的研究负责人Vetle Lunde于4月30日在一个惊人的加密X邮报中指出，加密货币7天的波动率刚刚达到了563天的低点。
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BTC 7天波动率点击563天低pic.twitter.com/9xvvQ3t6N7
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; n- \- ?2 G. \- N* d! i8 {8 s-Vetle Lunde（@vetlelunde）2025年4月30日
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同时，对美元的30天比特币价格波动稳步下降。根据Bitbo和TheBlock的数据，自2011年以来，BTC的波动率一直在退化。' ?( m/ b& p. O' o; p
- c2 i! I ~# ~低比特币的波动率：看涨还是看跌？4 m3 f, p/ B5 {% ^
低波动性可能是加密货币和库存的看跌。这是因为在牛市上，价格往往会随着更多的数量而上升，并突然纠正。1 U) y! O: J$ O7 e7 }* N
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结果，一些交易者可能将低波动率解释为卖出或等待信号。但是，比特币图表技术在华尔街资金和加密交易所进行的激烈的BTC集会上取得了里程碑式的记录。/ R1 Y% O5 S, P8 Q5 L+ A: a: F( [
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因此，可能很难将其作为看跌迹象。* v" j8 K0 I6 z" X
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取而代之的是，低BTC波动率可能只是比特币现在拥有如此高的市值的结果，即五月开始的2万亿美元档次，流动性运行更加顺利。鲸鱼大小的参与者不再对曾经拥有的整体市场产生挥发性飞溅效应。
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. m/ b- I* H. m保真度：许多股票比BTC更波动
$ E4 p# F; k4 |6 K总体而言，这是比特币的看涨里程碑。这意味着该网络的资本化已经增长了令人震惊的速度，以至于现在它不像海洋中的一条小船一样上下摆动。取而代之的是，它更像是一个大型，良好且庄重的工艺。
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. n3 P* |$ v8 ?. S去年的忠实数字资产研究研究指出关于BTC价格波动的一些有趣的事实，例如：“比特币是波动的，但比许多流行的大型股票股票更少。”, ?; S7 [/ M! a' z5 @: L' ~9 Z% r6 [
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总部位于波士顿的大型投资公司还表示：“比特币目前的波动率不及33个标准普尔500股股票，而到2023年下半年，比特币的波动率高92个标准普尔500股。”
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, c0 e/ [4 @+ R: }1 h) C1 K. r该报告确定了一个预测：“比特币的波动率下降了，预计将继续这样做。”同时，加密价格4月初低于75,000美元之后，人们一直在迅速增长，并敲打了100,000美元的门。
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