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[虚拟币交流]
比特币以98,000美元的价格违反了疑问，那么为什么投资者仍然谨慎？（转）
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比特币集会高于$ 98K，与持续的负面投资者情绪形成鲜明对比；难以置信的可能性可能表明机会。% y7 A2 `3 Z, `4 |
大量的ETF流入促进了BTC，但2022年风险的风险仍然可能使这种动力脱轨。1 t; n0 w' O2 C6 L5 m; c, N3 g
尽管比特币[BTC]令人印象深刻的持有超过$ 98K的大关，投资者的情绪越来越低。这引起了一波怀疑，在牛市中，这感觉奇怪的是不合时宜。, z5 Z1 a+ b# d: l0 B/ J# v9 x
# y/ d! b( ^% {! D市场是否难以置信，兴奋不已？还是这些信号反映了2022熊市？2 c |" c3 o! r" ^3 ~
7 q& g9 ]2 g5 U5 N& a2 K' [* h随着BTC最近的[激增]重点势头，当前的气候可能与基本面一样由心理学来驱动。* A: t& o# _3 p5 s) X/ p
$ F7 Q8 I, j. |) e! e4 r B
牛un云蒙上阴影% J8 l4 T) I$ l0 [/ _) v" y
最近的数据显示比特币X（以前为Twitter）和新闻平台上的价格和普遍情绪。( H \1 M; A, M2 R) J
- C$ e0 H+ T2 Y3 J* E! E9 Z即使BTC交易自信地超过9.8万美元，平均7天的平均情绪仍然牢固地负面 - 这种模式在历史上与本地底部和逆势购买机会有关。! Z0 l) n0 W+ |$ }
. z3 d9 C$ {( p- ]6 }这种持续的难以置信表明市场在心理上落后于价格行动。
, n/ O# g: S4 o7 x, n
3 H4 `8 z! J1 O0 K尽管这种情绪下降以前曾在看涨逆转之前，但值得记住的是2022年的警告性故事，在这种情况下，延长的消极情绪与长时间的熊阶段相吻合。' W2 L" z2 T) ]
8 R# d0 {6 h8 r* }: {* \
BTC背后的机构引擎
q" |6 i& {* Y _6 m+ z- O! z5 l在ETF流图表：经过数周的一致流出后，四月迎来了大量ETF流入的政权。7 x9 K, k0 A$ H0 A& U
, C" w. B- P# F5 _
这种重新获得的机构兴趣主要由贝莱德（Blackrock）和富达（Fidelity）等巨人领导，似乎使比特币向上驱动了势头，将其推向了9.8万美元的大关。
$ o6 I% E! B7 o1 S" k P
4 m% d3 L1 v7 `与较早几个月的挥发性流动不同，该阶段显示出稳定的每日净流入，表明了强烈的长期信念。& X4 T! q- W, A/ y9 t
# R4 {0 E8 p3 U) X z, J机构信心可能是[激增]的关键力量，即使零售情绪仍然谨慎。( z$ X( c |8 j4 B$ K8 y2 B
8 a3 I. O4 B# u6 W6 Z: Q2 I" u& i怎么了？
7 k6 k. h8 B. P$ E, ?( ~! \尽管ETF流入信号乐观，但历史使投资者保持谨慎。
4 G+ c" M9 s( u3 P- G/ m
7 \1 U" F" w. R2022年，由机构产品和宏观趋势驱动的看涨情绪，由于流动性冲击和杠杆率过多而崩溃。- l- K9 P* q f5 u
: ]2 j% @- x1 C& V3 @3 f4 ]
风险食欲或监管压力的突然转移可能会触发快速流出，从而逆转最近的收益。7 E2 b0 X4 J# T ]
* ~) N4 {6 }6 T2 t尽管ETF提供了透明度，但它们并不能阻止比特币免受市场波动的影响。如果流入缓慢或转向赎回，比特币可能会面临类似于过去周期的抛售。5 L: Y/ b4 H7 L0 P1 R
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