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[lastpost] => 2769559 史诗级换手和抛售规模，市场还将迎来进一步回撤？ 1759012240 caoch
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Grayscale 表示，2025 年第三季度可能会成为市场经历过的最不寻常的山寨币季节之一。) h+ q% i( f# Q2 {* ?
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在一个新的报告这位资产管理经理指出，比特币相对于其他行业的表现较弱，以及中心化交易所的提振，是“明显”周期的迹象。
' ~5 `7 K+ i/ p: p- _3 @2 T# N" n" }
% C$ ] b6 K7 @) _# N尽管比特币在8月份创下12万美元以上的新高，但其涨幅仍落后于智能合约平台和人工智能相关代币。灰度认为，美国的稳定币立法，包括7月份《GENIUS法案》的通过，有助于刺激对山寨币的需求，而比特币、人工智能代币和其他货币则表现落后。$ F! R! S, O* v1 n" S5 j" c
9 d0 F+ D* m( j: a2 S' a) U报告还强调了加密货币市场的几个结构性变化。越来越多的国库券持有代币，美国境内稳定币的使用加速，中心化交易所的交易量在第三季度有所上升。Grayscale 表示，这些变化为加密货币市场创造了合适的条件。山寨币, V' w0 `/ t; {* e, P
( ?5 d) y5 f$ a山寨币都是比特币的替代加密货币。+ r7 i8 R; Z# \& x! ?+ h
: L" h" ^4 V( }" >山寨币与之前的周期不同，此次反弹仅由比特币主导地位的下降所驱动。, f6 m3 ?: V9 U2 c |
展望未来，该公司表示，美国即将出台的政策——包括国会正在辩论的一项全面市场结构法案——可能成为第四季度业绩的催化剂。围绕新的加密货币ETF的乐观情绪也在增强，美国证券交易委员会(SEC)最近批准了更新的上市规则，并批准了Grayscale持有比特币、以太坊、瑞波币(XRP)、Solana和卡尔达诺(Cardano)的多资产基金。
& L7 ^; }4 j/ f* S8 G0 a) K' A
, @" s/ V* j1 S X尽管比特币价格创下里程碑式的涨幅，但灰度指出，BTC 和山寨币在创下历史新高方面仍落后于黄金和股票。灰度还补充道，稳定币从交易所流出可能在整体走势上受到抑制。0 Y# y$ ^& H% E: D- E7 l! x6 S1 F5 K' l
* ?* a5 E( e0 h6 `) _# q- L2 d/ EGrayscale 总结称，投资者不应低估监管转变的重要性。该公司认为，立法进展、ETF& w* ]+ r# u/ K3 j
7 @. I" N" s2 W8 W交易所交易基金' J' {" z8 P6 f, I9 [1 T. ^5 J
6 d2 H1 \2 s- q4 n" >ETF批准和日益增长的机构采用不仅可能影响下一季度，还可能影响整个加密货币市场到 2026 年的发展轨迹。! e, ~& c. [+ x B+ \1 Z
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