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五角大楼比萨指数再次启动，可疑内幕入场美国委内瑞拉冲突相关盘口
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比推消息，据 PolyBeats 监测，被视为美国军事行动晴雨表的五角大楼比萨指数的假设是，当五角大楼的高层指挥中心或作战室正在处理重大的、突发的国际危机或军事部署时，工作人员需要长时间加班。当工作人员加班到深夜时，他们通常会通过大量订购比萨来解决晚餐。
自 12 月 6 日晚起，该指数再次启动，持续至数小时。然而预测12 月 12 日/31 日毒品船打击？的概率却并未出现明显变化，也未发现疑似内幕交易者的入场。可其他相关预测走势似乎另有蹊跷。在市场美国是否会在 12 月 31 日前与委内瑞拉发生军事接触？中，有两位画像极其可疑的交易者正在该市场进行激进的集中式投注。
第一位是 methebestss：他在 12 小时前，陆续将 6,000 美元充值至账户，并将其作为该平台的第一笔也是唯一一笔交易，以 30?0?4 的均价买入了 20,389 份Yes。
第二位是 smaugvision，他的操作更为激进。在 19 小时前，他充值超 4 万美元，并同时买入了 12 月 9 日、15 日、31 日三个时间节点的Yes份额，总开仓超 2 万美元。此外，他还投入超 8,000 美元在另外两个相关盘口：美国军队是否会在 12 月 31 日前进入委内瑞拉？和美国是否会在 12 月 31 日前入侵委内瑞拉？这两位交易员均采用了不符合链上交易员习惯的法币充值，且将绝大多数资金投入到委内瑞拉相关的军事盘口，其交易行为高度集中、目标明确。
目前，上述盘口的概率均低于 30%。
风险提示： 本新闻涉及的内容仅供参考，不构成投资建议。依据发布的信息以及所表达的意见行事所造成的一切后果由行事者自负。文章链接 |
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