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[虚拟币交流]
比特币的未来是否有被操纵的风险？你需要知道的转变（转）
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自疫情扰乱传统资产以来，比特币巨头一直在积极积累比特币。3 O. c6 u j$ J$ D. M- h, G
这是否预示着大规模牛市的前兆？
" u; x$ d4 f% ]: W比特币[BTC]突破10万美元，再次证明加密货币市场在第一季度的牛市中蓬勃发展。但这一次，这个六位数的里程碑背后是十年的变化。$ y, B0 A5 s3 ?/ i. s* R
' S3 {7 w% o8 b2 `就在10年前，BTC的年初价格为314美元。快进到2025年，增长了29639% ；- y- y0 L& T2 B. r' X- p/ B `
( y% w5 I" j( s3 I# h! j C% H但这不仅仅是数字。AMBCrypto揭示了这一激增背后的隐藏因素——一个将重塑市场的因素。但这是好事还是坏事？' _* I' }. e- q" g- T
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做好准备，一场重大冲击即将到来；
6 I4 P& C' m8 v6 r0 M尽管比特币鲸鱼只占网络的1.25%，但它们一直是帮助比特币打破主要心理目标的关键。
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9 ~4 l& I8 i" ]1 `这一转变在2020-21年周期真正得到了体现，当时疫情后的繁荣推动投资者远离传统市场。
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作为回应，BTC在2021年首次突破2万美元，持有超过1万BTC的地址达到15万。8 Y1 U7 v1 f; X, M* M
# p9 q/ a: }9 Z6 G4 W: x这就是为什么当市场变得艰难时，散户投资者会转向这些HODLers寻求指导。3 U) j) i5 d+ e+ b" |5 i
f& ^4 c+ B% @9 m _/ ^即使是10万美元的突破（截至本文撰写时）也发生在大玩家身上舀起来更多BTC，引发大规模零售资本的涌入.4 A6 b/ R- A N' E" n& v( y" {
2 Y6 y: K% u5 l6 K% _7 }$ w
但现在，围绕“中心化”的争论在比特币网络上愈演愈烈。一些人认为，随着更多的比特币集中在更少的人手中，市场可能会更容易受到突然波动的影响。8 q5 ~/ W W) j
: T, s7 u& S9 u9 i& k: F- |. A但情况是这样的：鲸鱼移动的比特币数量已经下降到2016年以来从未见过的水平。换句话说，BTC流入交易所的速度在过去十年中大幅放缓。( |5 k2 W J5 ]
# @" t" }# G; v6 E3 z4 K为什么这很重要？这挑战了比特币巨头正在操纵市场的观点。1 U( t6 X$ B$ Q$ M7 N( [
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事实上，随着鲸鱼积累更多的比特币，交易量放缓，我们可能处于比特币有史以来最大的供应冲击的边缘。
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/ z5 b9 K! F7 }比特币鲸鱼正在为2025年做准备* N. f- n; K) _+ P- Y# N7 u4 l3 p
目前，加密货币市场正处于高度兴奋阶段，BTC在两周后收回了10.2万美元。市场内外的多种因素共同推动了这一激增。" e( c) T% l. p( k; ?; v
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然而，这一次的情况与上一个周期有所不同，当时由于经济担忧和美联储的谨慎立场，比特币在10.8万美元处挣扎 ；
: ~5 s/ [* g( P
8 w5 D! e; z& @ I+ I% K随着特朗普就职典礼的临近，第一季度看涨趋势的历史，以及大量资本从这两个方面涌入机构对于散户投资者来说，潜在的反弹可能会更高。1 B) M3 n5 O; N% l' h
_8 |9 `; {- m. i: u更重要的是，比特币鲸鱼对BTC作为一种价值储存表现出更强的信心。这一转变表明，价格剧烈波动的时代可能已经过去；2 @. }& _9 ]! p! |8 Z
0 L! [6 K7 M1 [2 e因此，随着比特币的分布变得更加稳定，其波动性正在稳步下降，为未来更大的周期奠定了基础。& a& s9 r4 Z, R5 I7 }
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随着这一转变，BTC已准备好度过不可避免的2025年市场风暴事实上，它甚至可能将BTC定位为更安全的赌注，在未来一年可能会超过风险较高的资产。7 r3 r j1 ~# w8 ?8 f
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