×
Array
(
[fid] => 6974
[description] => 专注于币圈最新最快资讯,数字货币应用及知识普及
[password] =>
[icon] => b1/common_6974_icon.png
[redirect] =>
[attachextensions] =>
[creditspolicy] => Array
(
[post] => Array
(
[usecustom] => 1
[cycletype] => 1
[cycletime] => 0
[rewardnum] => 5
[extcredits1] => 1
[extcredits2] => 1
[extcredits3] => 0
[extcredits4] => 0
[extcredits5] => 0
[extcredits6] => 0
[extcredits7] => 0
[extcredits8] => 0
[rid] => 1
[fid] => 6974
[rulename] => 发表主题
[action] => post
[fids] => 32,52,67,447,1120,1151,1156,6750,6762,6763,6766,6769,6772,6773,6787,6796,6808,6809,6810,6813,6814,6820,6829,6830,6846,6856,6864,6865,6827,6930,6931,6776,6858,6880,6764,6932,6871,6758,6905,1116,6788,6812,6798,6736,6759,6842,6966,6767,6828,6924,6935,6936,6938,6940,6941,6826,6909,6803,6919,6911,6908,6881,6920,6912,6913,6921,6925,6922,6789,6818,6819,6872,6928,6969,6889,6888,6917,6939,6947,6961,6937,6943,6970,6869,6900,6902,6783,6817,1111,6870,6821,6876,6952,6954,6960,6942,6910,6949,6962,6963,6964,6927,6926,6973,6728,6929,6874,6894,6896,6885,6857,6868,1113,6778,56,6844,6878,6802,6933,6811,6923,6877,6875,6918,6892,6757,6832,6833,6795,6793,6848,6837,6849,6850,6851,6852,6853,6854,6863,6882,6836,6790,6838,6794,6791,6873,555,6934,6958,6944,6945,6907,6779,6886,6950,6904,6956,6862,6957,6855,6955,6959,6914,6965,6971,6972,6953,6976,6824,6815,6891,6866,6979,6977,6765,6903,6948,6980,6981,6983,6799,6982,6951,6984,6975,6895,6845,6879,1121,6974
)
[reply] => Array
(
[usecustom] => 1
[cycletype] => 1
[cycletime] => 0
[rewardnum] => 0
[extcredits1] => 0
[extcredits2] => 1
[extcredits3] => 10
[extcredits4] => 0
[extcredits5] => 0
[extcredits6] => 0
[extcredits7] => 0
[extcredits8] => 0
[rid] => 2
[fid] => 6974
[rulename] => 发表回复
[action] => reply
[fids] => 32,52,67,447,1120,1151,1156,6750,6763,6766,6769,6772,6773,6787,6796,6808,6809,6810,6813,6814,6820,6829,6830,6846,6856,6864,6865,6827,6930,6931,6776,6858,6880,6764,6932,6871,6758,1116,6788,6812,6798,6736,6759,6842,6966,6767,6828,6924,6935,6936,6938,6940,6941,6826,6909,6803,6919,6911,6908,6881,6920,6912,6913,6921,6925,6922,6789,6818,6819,6872,6928,6969,6889,6888,6917,6939,6947,6961,6937,6943,6970,6869,6900,6902,6783,6817,1111,6870,6821,6876,6952,6954,6960,6942,6910,6949,6962,6963,6964,6927,6926,6973,6728,6929,6874,6894,6896,6885,6857,6868,1113,6778,56,6844,6878,6802,6933,6811,6923,6877,6875,6918,6892,6757,6832,6833,6795,6793,6848,6837,6849,6850,6851,6852,6853,6854,6863,6836,6790,6838,6794,6791,6873,555,6934,6958,6944,6945,6907,6779,6886,6950,6904,6956,6862,6957,6855,6955,6959,6914,6965,6971,6972,6953,6976,6824,6815,6891,6866,6979,6977,6765,6903,6948,6980,6981,6983,6799,6982,6951,6984,6975,6895,6845,6879,1121,6974
)
)
[formulaperm] => a:5:{i:0;s:0:"";i:1;s:0:"";s:7:"message";s:0:"";s:5:"medal";N;s:5:"users";s:0:"";}
[moderators] => 实习版主1
[rules] =>
[threadtypes] => Array
(
[required] => 1
[listable] => 1
[prefix] => 1
[types] => Array
(
[1590] => 论坛公告
[1752] => 公司优惠
[1603] => 虚拟币交流
[1753] => 数字钱包
[1754] => 虚拟币存提
[1755] => 交易所
[1655] => 虚拟币资讯
[1756] => 银行卡
[1757] => 第三方支付
[1760] => 币圈大佬
[1758] => 科技前沿
[1759] => 天策嗨聊
[1661] => 入驻合作
)
[icons] => Array
(
[1590] =>
[1752] =>
[1603] =>
[1753] =>
[1754] =>
[1755] =>
[1655] =>
[1756] =>
[1757] =>
[1760] =>
[1758] =>
[1759] =>
[1661] =>
)
[moderators] => Array
(
[1590] => 1
[1752] =>
[1603] =>
[1753] =>
[1754] =>
[1755] =>
[1655] =>
[1756] =>
[1757] =>
[1760] =>
[1758] =>
[1759] => 1
[1661] =>
)
)
[threadsorts] => Array
(
)
[viewperm] => 9 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 19 31 67 68 69 73 75 76 83 84 87 90 91 92 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3 7 8
[postperm] => 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 19 67 68 69 73 75 76 83 84 87 90 91 92 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3
[replyperm] => 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 19 67 68 69 73 75 76 83 84 87 90 91 92 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3
[getattachperm] => 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 19 67 68 69 73 75 76 83 84 87 90 91 92 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3
[postattachperm] => 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 19 67 68 69 73 75 76 83 84 87 90 91 92 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3
[postimageperm] => 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 19 67 68 69 73 75 76 83 84 87 90 91 92 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3
[spviewperm] =>
[seotitle] =>
[keywords] =>
[seodescription] =>
[supe_pushsetting] =>
[modrecommend] => Array
(
[open] => 0
[num] => 10
[imagenum] => 0
[imagewidth] => 300
[imageheight] => 250
[maxlength] => 0
[cachelife] => 0
[dateline] => 0
)
[threadplugin] => Array
(
)
[replybg] =>
[extra] => a:2:{s:9:"namecolor";s:0:"";s:9:"iconwidth";s:2:"60";}
[jointype] => 0
[gviewperm] => 0
[membernum] => 0
[dateline] => 0
[lastupdate] => 0
[activity] => 0
[founderuid] => 0
[foundername] =>
[banner] =>
[groupnum] => 0
[commentitem] =>
[relatedgroup] =>
[picstyle] => 0
[widthauto] => 0
[noantitheft] => 0
[noforumhidewater] => 0
[noforumrecommend] => 0
[livetid] => 0
[price] => 0
[fup] => 6729
[type] => forum
[name] => 虚拟币讨论大厅
[status] => 1
[displayorder] => 3
[styleid] => 0
[threads] => 28486
[posts] => 464669
[todayposts] => 118
[yesterdayposts] => 157
[rank] => 2
[oldrank] => 2
[lastpost] => 2774814 比特币11万美元,加密VC们却快没了(转) 1760815373 中大奖
[domain] =>
[allowsmilies] => 1
[allowhtml] => 1
[allowbbcode] => 1
[allowimgcode] => 1
[allowmediacode] => 0
[allowanonymous] => 0
[allowpostspecial] => 21
[allowspecialonly] => 0
[allowappend] => 0
[alloweditrules] => 1
[allowfeed] => 0
[allowside] => 0
[recyclebin] => 1
[modnewposts] => 2
[jammer] => 1
[disablewatermark] => 0
[inheritedmod] => 0
[autoclose] => 0
[forumcolumns] => 3
[catforumcolumns] => 0
[threadcaches] => 0
[alloweditpost] => 1
[simple] => 16
[modworks] => 1
[allowglobalstick] => 1
[level] => 0
[commoncredits] => 0
[archive] => 0
[recommend] => 0
[favtimes] => 0
[sharetimes] => 0
[disablethumb] => 0
[disablecollect] => 0
[ismoderator] => 0
[threadtableid] => 0
[allowreply] =>
[allowpost] =>
[allowpostattach] =>
)
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 7253 小时
本月在线: 10 小时
|
|
1. 宏观因素影响市场走势1 W) H# \- _1 d+ d6 b/ o
5 P) u" Y/ H- j" k
过去一周市场涨跌主要受宏观经济数据影响,包括美国未来的降息预期、上周的非农数据和失业率,以及本周即将公布的PPI与CPI数据。" e1 ~8 E) I2 x6 V& b
' l4 t6 w$ a: Q5 S4 G8 X
PPI助推反弹:昨晚公布的PPI数据低于市场预期,被认为是近期少见的利好消息。PPI同比上涨3.3%(预期3.5%),核心PPI同比上涨3.5%(预期3.8%),这让市场信心得到了一定恢复。8 T$ w+ U1 p* v7 {! J
# o) M% d/ V+ U3 _6 |- ?
CPI才是关键:今晚的CPI数据更为重要,市场预期CPI同比为2.9%(前值2.7%),核心CPI预期为3.3%。如果数据能保持在预期或持平的水平,大饼(比特币)可能重回10万美元上方,并延续市场的炒作行情。
+ d: U& `9 f3 m4 v: d5 Y3 r% w& I! ~5 c1 o" ~4 S
2. 比特币市场现状与未来预期" V" L8 {3 V {: o
$ o; i$ a, @; s
当前持仓成本:2 ]) d. r$ d9 V' ~* P9 Z( S/ I
6 {; @1 u$ C% j& z7 P$ o+ j机构的平均持仓成本在8.1万美元左右;# A! A& D; i& u! J$ }+ G
4 x3 k7 f9 W8 Z* \ m: S微策略因早期进场,平均成本约为6.2万美元;8 D' s" H& @# a4 T
& A% g" w9 }1 O/ {$ I" i! GETF持仓成本约在7万美元上下。
: Z& O; x+ E, U9 }
$ [4 }# K6 K9 N2 g7 u; N比特币价值回归:
: g! Q( q" X; r6 M) }
* i3 r& i% Z( E; e1 M市场大部分散户的低价筹码已经交割完毕,当前持币主力成本价在6-8万美元区间。
4 P* i& @( K+ ?5 N4 X& B' u& R: R9 \6 a$ U- C. _, M6 K+ q
随着更多公司和国家效仿萨尔瓦多将比特币纳入战略储备,比特币的流通将越来越少,机构预测其价格有望达到15万甚至20万美元。
4 n, X# M; o1 A7 Q2 p/ n' @* y* z5 x$ s3 ^) Y8 G; m y4 K
加密资产的国家效应:萨尔瓦多因比特币政策而成为中美洲金融科技中心,吸引了像Tether这样的大型加密公司入驻。' w$ C2 S) W1 [
; p2 x0 D! e# K5 i3. 市场热点与反弹情况6 A. A! Y7 M% u9 _
# P8 w; c: r9 Q# @7 }ETH:5 N5 U+ J' V% p0 Q8 z
& Z- s l& H. I
虽然受到大量抛售的质疑,但以太坊价格总体稳定,汇率回升至0.033。: l% v$ w/ y* j, y+ e
% }0 V4 ]8 q! ]1 `% Y7 u
机构普遍认为以太坊本轮高点或达到1万美元。# q1 ^/ g0 b$ b5 ?/ w5 ^+ C' f
) @ z. u* `" Q' w$ }- Z
BTC:* k0 C% s8 q% T: C
' v3 U6 a; W9 {( L1 d& a
尽管ETF持续外流且贝莱德带头抛售,比特币依然维持强势。7 X! k2 m. b5 c& o3 W0 l( U3 r& K
4 T# f* V! n1 Y9 Q9 U& k& W
如果今晚CPI数据利好,突破10万美元可能性极大。6 v4 }1 K* t$ @: j& O
$ Z4 j% H3 D* C' n; Q' K) nSOL与XRP: a1 B- N1 `& U. X2 |- V
, Z( w4 Y& M5 K* a8 `& J' Z8 FSOL走势强劲,被认为是AI生态的主导者。摩根大通预计SOL与XRP的ETF即将推出,或吸引150亿美元资金入场。
# b; _" i6 O3 X4 F! ?2 W! G: x! m7 X' r5 _" e$ c0 E7 x3 T
XRP走势超强,多次占据韩所榜首,有市场声音预测其价格达到10美元、市值超越以太坊。
( q. s8 y- _7 B
' ^; c. c- z. g7 [9 H! M K) b其他热点项目:9 G4 N, _% q( r0 e; B
2 ^& r# u6 f8 ]) n; p
涉及ETF或政策的项目如$hbar、$algo、$ada等走势同样强劲。
) O) c( d% N z
9 A4 E/ i J# O* x$ _+ }山寨市场近期普遍上涨,市场预计Q1可能迎来牛市爆发。4 p1 u( f# Z6 U I8 r% `$ Z
! p$ `8 C; b5 N; d4. AI赛道与新兴项目
" A2 j% `, z" {* C
0 B5 X) Z- x7 P9 t |' Y% MAI领域表现突出,板块总市值达160亿美元,近期涨幅明显。- H& e _' x: J
% U( O0 i2 [" y1 c) h; a* K
蓝筹项目:如$ai16z、$virtual和$aixbt等市值迅速攀升,部分实现翻倍增长。
6 d. T( ]+ n; _; n: |# X: A; u8 j' s1 U6 h! Q& k1 _
新兴项目:正经团队推出的AI项目表现稳健,例如$mates和$sora已获得市场认可。2 n0 o7 W$ B! k# q
$ S: v, C H4 A2 g6 \5 b$ e& ?市场展望
: m9 }; [+ t# |' A; b4 f& v% I2 ~- p; O! y
随着宏观经济环境和政策明朗,加密市场有望迎来更多利好。山寨牛市或在第一季度爆发,AI、主流币、以及新兴应用赛道将继续成为市场焦点。7 t5 q) j/ Y4 R2 z- b5 H6 B
3 }" `; z1 `. p2 |% n |
|
|
|
|
|
|
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 13445 小时
本月在线: 46 小时
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 19371 小时
本月在线: 66 小时
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 6080 小时
本月在线: 8 小时
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 10276 小时
本月在线: 19 小时
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 8982 小时
本月在线: 4 小时
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 2920 小时
本月在线: 22 小时
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 3949 小时
本月在线: 0 分钟
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|