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[虚拟币交流]
比特币再次瞄准 10 万美元 – 看涨势头能否刺激投资者？（转）
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比特币 [BTC]开始采取行动夺回 100,000 美元的区域，截至发稿时，交易价格低于 98,215.61 美元，而过去 24 小时内价格小幅上涨了 0.42%。
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% z4 T) s/ K# F. \& z由于市场上大量投资者、现货交易商和矿工的看涨情绪日益高涨，预计涨势将持续，并有可能将 BTC 带入图表上的标记区域。# u" R+ `# ~5 e5 p
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比特币重新分配正在进行: Y# m7 v4 G1 b( d! U
' Q! D* x4 u! L; h目前，市场上的比特币正在重新分配。这意味着持有更多 BTC 的市场参与者群体正在转移。
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目前，这种转变已经从持有至少 1% 流通 BTC 供应量的鲸鱼转向另外两类：持有少于1 BTC 的虾类和持有100-1,000 BTC 的鲨鱼。
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1 C& U4 E- e1 T: U然而，鲨鱼却占据了领先地位。& Y. C8 i/ I" z3 L) U/ E) ?
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根据 Glassnode 的数据，比特币鲨鱼目前占据 20% 的主导地位，这意味着他们积累的 BTC 比任何其他群体都多。
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通过这种重新分配，特别是在小型和相对大型持有者之间的重新分配，表明这些群体的信心正在增强，他们可能将 BTC 跌破 100,000 美元视为买入机会。
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仔细观察比特币的 NUPL（净未实现利润/亏损）可以证实这一看涨趋势。1 V6 T8 u. h, C2 J9 R
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当时，NUPL 显示市场处于“信念”阶段，或看涨持续阶段，截稿时读数为 0.556，表明整体购买活动活跃。0 F( v( R( y3 n! ?$ K3 R8 ]
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比特币矿工实现的利润微乎其微
4 S6 N/ Y) {1 k g q7 h B, MCryptoQuant 上的矿工持仓指数 (MPI) 表明，在维护区块链完整性方面发挥重要作用的比特币矿工正在逐渐抛售。' n( }. ~+ O/ z, q& ]
9 J) c _$ s" z# |- p' V本文撰写时，MPI 读数为负 0.8，表明抛售压力较低。这表明矿工可能正在获利回吐以弥补运营成本。4 p3 r) ^8 l. r3 [) {
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一旦此阶段结束，这些矿工可能会逐渐开始再次购买 BTC，增加他们的投资组合并为市场带来潜在的看涨压力。: K$ m) r$ a# m: {
( ]1 d3 s8 p2 s5 \现货交易商调整2 C o% O) m \; D7 y) b. ?6 v
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现货交易商开始顺应市场情绪，因为最近几天 BTC 的购买活动非常活跃。
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; {. O6 j/ _; V4 I* _& J. s3 N仅在过去 24 小时内，Exchange Netflow 数据显示，从加密货币交易所购买了 1,100 BTC，较前一天购买的 262 BTC 大幅增加。9 |, k3 J* y& a. `9 M( T
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如果这种购买趋势持续下去，则表明现货交易商的看涨情绪将明显转变，与 BTC 投资者团体和矿工当前的情绪一致。7 u" c5 a o/ y( a/ M- s
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