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[虚拟币交流]
比特币BTC再次突破 87,000 美元——以下是分析师对其价格的预测（转）
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比特币[BTC]在复活节反弹期间回升至8.7万美元，专家认为这与美元走弱有关。VanEck数字资产研究主管Mathew Sigel在最近的一份- a) v+ z% N" k" Q
0 v9 v' w( [- W: Y) X, y5 D报告中特别强调了这一论断。
6 _2 @2 D4 M% x$ X3 O: Q美元抛售推高比特币6 i i* M1 R) c- t
. z, X7 j+ B8 ]9 ]$ j$ h# DGalaxy 研究主管 Alex Thorn 和 Bitwise 的 Andre Dragosch 也持有类似观点。事实上，Dragosch补充说，美元指数 (DXY) 跌至 2022 年以
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来的最低水平。
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: A$ ~% B+ a4 t1 s S“看起来，比特币正因美元持续疲软而上涨。美元指数刚刚触及2022年3月以来的最低水平。”( e! k; @( D* \ w* d7 ~! l, j( V
! N" ]* k! D9 J% j; E . ]8 v8 x; k) Q/ [- c: r
根据附图，比特币的价格走势与美元指数呈负相关。因此，在唐纳德·特朗普总统威胁解雇美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔的推动下，美元指5 S5 T1 ~ p4 |( @* `( p9 J
9 ^; T9 x0 y' ?# P数走弱（从100美元跌至97美元），从而推动了加密货币的上涨。
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3 ?2 J7 C( Q4 MAmberdata 的 Greg Madini 补充道，特朗普的举动“威胁到美联储的独立性”，而鲍威尔的继任者将引发通胀。Magadini补充道，这将推7 q( K- z5 D7 O" }% ^; N1 I% e% K
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高黄金和比特币的价格。
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. s6 l% ^5 f; z% X2 u下周我们将迎来美联储褐皮书发布，多位美联储理事也将发表讲话。任何威胁美联储独立性的言论都可能成为黄金和比特币上涨的催化
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剂。
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这里值得指出的是，黄金价格在周一再创历史新高（ATH），这是过去几周脱钩之后首次出现与BTC的正相关性。& y' W% N' v5 s# `+ ~# K. ]
# i0 W. M; d( I! Z5 e# `这意味着，在关税不确定性的背景下，投资者纷纷涌向黄金和比特币（BTC）作为“避险资产”。大多数交易员和分析师都承认BTC突破; E9 w4 ~! \' ~8 K* Y& s
& x" y; _; ~1 a; {4 m7 j了8.7万美元。
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* @$ T6 ?% P# E3 z6 ?% t然而，BTC 的上涨是由低现货交易量推动的，需要在美国市场开盘时再次确认。匿名分析师 StockMoney Lizards警告称，
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1 n9 z+ j. F% x4 f: G“突破不错，但成交量不大。肯定需要确认。无论如何，你现在还不应该太兴奋。”: _9 k( F% ^5 b) w7 i h
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; T/ g% I# W9 D分析师马修·海兰德 (Matthew Hyland)表示，比特币的持续复苏将取决于突破 89,000 美元。
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1 Q; S3 @/ i; p* b) l“#BTC 多头现在的唯一目标是突破 89,000 美元，创造并确认更高的高点，并确认下行趋势的结束。”! P9 t; A* C! H' E$ z
3 p& L, a) L! h+ }CryptoQuant 进一步支持了市场复苏的前景，指出当前的价格走势是正常的回调，而非完整的熊市周期。该公司引用了“链上交
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" w8 R8 n0 R* g易者已实现盈亏保证金”指标来佐证这一观点。! J7 {- R( h3 k. p4 @6 [. a V: j( |! B
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