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北京时间周四凌晨，本周全球市场最重磅的靴子终于落地了，美联储联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)公布了最新的利率决议，本次会议如期加息75个基点，将基准利率上调至1.50%-1.75%区间，加息幅度为1994年以来最大。
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美联储表示“坚决承诺”将通胀率恢复到2%，通货膨胀仍然居高不下，反映出与大流行相关的供需失衡、能源价格上涨、更大的价格压力；重申认为持续加息是适当的。 * ?8 ]" g6 x# A$ Z" J1 d
美联储FOMC经济预期显示，2022、2023、2024年底联邦基金利率预期中值分别为3.4%，3.8%，3.4%；2022、2023、2024年底PCE通胀预期中值分别为5.2%，2.6%，2.2%；更长期联邦基金利率预期中值为2.5%，3月预期为2.4%；2022、2023、2024年底GDP增速预期中值分别为1.7%，1.7%，1.9%。美联储预计在2024年开始降息。 s# c Z) i) C8 ]# K n
美联储主席鲍威尔表示，坚定地致力于让通胀回落，有需要的工具来恢复价格稳定；数据显示，短期通胀居高不下，但中期内大幅下降，通胀预期仍然存在。并表示，必须降低通货膨胀来帮助就业人口，目前的情况很明显，劳动力市场极度紧张，通货膨胀太高；预计劳动力市场的供需状况将达到更好的平衡，并缓和工资增长。同时表示，FOMC正在迅速将利率上调至更正常的水平。
0 r) V5 v! g( m. D C3 l' K! C美联储主席鲍威尔称不太可能进行一系列的超强加息，全球市场情绪明显舒缓，美股三大股指止跌反弹，近期持续饱受摧残的加密货币也出现止跌回稳迹象，今天早盘加密货币全线上扬，比特币守住了20000美元，同样以太坊守住了1000美元的整数关口。
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BTC：1小时级别，如上图所示，币价在底部形成了筑底区间，箱体上轨23000刀短期承压，箱体震荡下轨20000刀支撑明显，考虑到币价美股三大指数出现了止跌的迹象，可以预计btc会在20000-23000的区间继续磨底，多空的争夺决定了接下来行情的突破方向。操作策略上，短线可以尝试波段操作，跌破20000点果断清仓，上破23000点可以顺势建仓或加仓。 ( X. d$ ?4 t7 R, M& \
% o- y# Y/ E+ E! f( s/ k7 hETH：同样1小时级别看，基本与BTC的走势是相类似的，箱体震荡区间上轨1260附近，箱体震荡下轨1000刀位置，昨天下午6点开始在1000附近止跌开启了一小波反弹行情，持续上涨刀1260的箱体震荡上轨边沿压力位后，今天早上9点到现在出现了持续的回调走势，基本符合箱体操作预期。币价若继续走弱失守1000刀，可以果断考虑清仓或反手小仓位做空；若币价在成交量的配合下上破了1260的压力位，后市有望开启进一笔的反弹上涨行情。 w4 [: E2 J3 D1 `, C$ S: U
( Q- W. {3 q1 Q+ T9 k6 ?$ UANT：上图为阿拉贡项目的1小时走势图，这个项目也是DAO概念，昨天到今天行情出现了冲高回落的异动，从底部1.2刀的位置拉升至最高价2.6刀，成功实现日内币价翻倍行情，考虑到目前行情处于回调阶段，持币用户可以适当减仓，后市反弹行情可以继续关注DAO概念相关币种。 来源：金色财经 |
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