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[lastpost] => 2775060 今日虚拟币市场还是迎来了修复行情 1760943110 rainwang
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硬币的两面是运气和风险。
$ l2 V) Y8 q' |% y. M0 A$ }运气和风险都是长尾事件，或者是个人投资者无法控制的不可预见的事件，对回报影响很大。
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聪明的投资者非常注重降低风险，并会分散和/或对冲他们的投资组合。 / t: W. i' w1 t2 [- E
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然而，运气也会对回报产生同样的影响。世界上最成功的人非常幸运，在正确的时间出现在正确的地方。/ d- f H7 @) r- u8 H5 [
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% Z$ S' x' a4 G$ O8 x( x8 V- X例如，比尔•盖茨认为，如果他不在高中学习计算机知识，他就不会创造微软。$ k3 ~/ ]2 ~- b
- t7 A2 s2 o3 O6 g1 X& b* q: N t9 B! L1 I
这些随机的运气往往会扭曲投资者的认知，使他们更倾向于幸存者偏差，导致他们试图复制那些真正不可复制的成功。6 `4 D$ H/ ^ [ N& O
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$ \) U5 l- {: O. I5 S2 s' ?7 y
为了缓解这种情况，Morgan建议投资者尝试以他们真正能模仿的人或品质为例。% I% A- J/ |, F; ~* W# N
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8 P- e1 ?) U! m }$ R, Q8 D每个人的看法就不一样吧 |
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4 b0 k6 M k3 C. \. M0 x) N5 H- ?
也是的呀，所以没运气的人注定不好 |
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2 F3 P* K- J6 O; `( W- e/ X$ F, m& P! e你这形容得很有道理 |
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