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[lastpost] => 2761572 学“微策略”翻车？比特币没涨，Metaplanet 股价先跌惨 1757003127 天策-瑶娥
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国盛证券今日发文分析称，参考黄金ETF推出对金价的推动，
! P* a5 k g, c. u& J& I, `! G% i2 M/ j$ V
比特币现货ETF值得期待。黄金ETF的推出对金价产生积极推动，
% v* |- l+ }3 F0 z; q( ^
5 C+ l' }, g# d, D( R+ q0 q这对比特币现货ETF有着积极的启示。需要注意的是，世界对黄
2 {3 i; ^( S) c+ F. ]
( S" m/ v: R% W; {金的认可并非由现货ETF而产生，而若比特币现货ETF获批，则意! g- s" E+ X4 d; O* H
, |& y3 N, f( s4 g; x
味着庞大的传统财富世界对比特币、甚至Web3.0世界的认可，将# ~4 j6 p/ J( _& t+ n& H q& c
. }4 ~% L# e1 E0 V- D0 I1 O进一步加速两者的融合。这是一个从0到1的过程，边际变化远超
. `0 ?/ K/ H9 i: o, H' N- |- g. i6 e
是黄金ETF获批。 * A1 z9 r+ M- @) _
# E) e! Z# u* Y' m: g9 ^# M4 r" `
当然，另一层面不同的是，比特币总数固定在2100万枚，而黄金* K9 j; x1 ~: a) r& F
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仍然有不断的新增产出。比特币现货ETF在美获批，有望带来增量7 Y8 {. s5 |* Y4 S) m. K7 Z
! f: e4 B0 U3 Q3 M* K
资金。Galaxy Digital测算得到的结论是：比特币在现货ETF获批的5 l, P( ~/ k d% {3 B
7 K. n2 u/ e- q8 N" G
第一年内预计上涨74%（以2023年9月30日比特币价格26920美元
) u( a* b/ X7 a# l6 C- L5 i- n) }) ? n5 {; p
为起点）；在较长时间内，投资比特币产品的潜在资金规模为1250亿
- ^5 K0 p- y- ]* c, x5 u8 k8 H: y5 t0 K& w9 x6 K N* ?8 G) `
美元至4500亿美元之间。& V) Y9 Z! q3 a6 v7 R- e
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