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[lastpost] => 2753808 比特币主导地位创三年新高，但面临历史性的八月至九月暴跌（转） 1754116976 22301
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[虚拟币交流]
以太坊 ETF 流入资金达 18.5 亿美元——是比特币的 25 倍！（转）
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ETH ETF 的周净流入量是 BTC ETF 的 25 倍，推动 CME ETH 基差交易量接近 12%。现在能达到 4000 美元吗？
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以太坊[ETH]已经翻转比特币[BTC]ETF 流入量。7 月 21 日至 25 日当周，ETH ETF 净流入 18.5 亿美元，约为 BTC ETF 净流入量 7200 万美元的 25 倍。8 z1 A0 ~8 b2 R* F, O% p
8 _+ ]* Q: ]# H/ c# |6 A- A. x/ g目前，ETH ETF 组合持有的总资产超过 200 亿美元。其中一半是由贝莱德的ETHA 最近突破了 100 亿美元。
& a3 a, d3 t: F. Z1 t4 y: n+ z. `# k% g6 d$ X" N3 T8 j+ F
对冲基金追逐ETH基差交易
6 T; |8 u. J$ G! i, a# u* R但 ETH ETF 的显著流动似乎主要是由寻求基础交易的对冲基金推动的。, G' ~5 B. i) Y$ I- E+ c/ e
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这是基金买入现货 ETH ETF 并在 CME（芝加哥商品交易所）期货上做空资产时出现的价差。+ H% N3 `( h. [! Q! \2 J8 [
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事实上，芝商所期货未平仓合约也强化了上述基础交易论点。Velodata显示，ETH 的兴趣激增至近 200 万个硬币，而 CME 期货上的 BTC 只有 15 万个。) t/ d! w, y) i$ G
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此外，ETH CME 年化基差本周从 8% 飙升至近 12%。
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! a8 e5 a, b. U' K$ Z同期，BTC 基差上涨了 9.4%，证实了过去一周 ETH ETF 资金流与 BTC 资金流的差异可能是由基差交易推动的。
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ETH/BTC 比率则表明情况并非如此2 F( ~# j% j# B1 H a8 D% l
事实上，ETF 流量的巨大差异几乎没有影响 ETH/BTC 比率，该比率是衡量顶级加密资产之间资本轮换的指标。5 f1 T) f7 n3 p- O
$ t" T# b% ` }6 x* v. E0 }* w与前一周 ETH/BTC 上涨 28%（这意味着资金从 BTC 转向 ETH）不同，该指标静音 本星期。
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难怪大多数山寨币的价格下降，因为 ETH/BTC 比率是山寨币市场领域的晴雨表之一。
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现货需求也受到追捧
m$ J2 V7 G3 P( X+ i但现货 ETH 也存在真正的需求，尤其是来自财务公司领先预期的稳定币和代币化热潮。3 ]; U5 I Q0 [- _ M7 t
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事实上，Ark Invest 的 Cathie Wood著名的最近从验证者那里赎回 ETH 的热潮部分是受到 ETH 国库券需求的推动，因为 ETH 国库券的潜在回报为 2 倍。& l4 U7 P; a7 J. y% S4 D
& F1 f9 }/ i( L' f+ ]3 h1 e+ y2 eCoinbase 分析师也强调了类似的立场，额外,
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“我们认为，这（解除质押需求）描绘了市场为了应对收益机会的变化而重新分配资本的图景，而不是对 ETH 或生态系统失去信心。”# {: G) U" C& j, n4 _- e
+ [+ U) b# O7 A. r7 I# Q. Y8 Z% |" X- @: A这种转变是合理的。质押奖励仅为 3%，而基础交易的奖励高达 12%，几乎是 ETH 资金库潜在回报的 2 倍。$ u! J# Y4 D3 ]( O5 @6 H
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ETH 这波像换了马达，ETF 热钱狂涌、基差狂飙、CME爆仓量创新高，4000美金不是梦，关键就看现货跟不跟！* x3 n! B1 e: G) U4 W
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