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[虚拟币交流]
当前市场：为什么BTC横盘但Altcoin却在“流血”？
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在最近的几次走势中，我们很容易注意到：BTC横盘（震荡）在稳定的价格区间内。
0 Q% m/ g# Q+ B. lAltcoin持续下跌，尽管比特币尚未出现剧烈下跌。
% O8 Y9 b; W$ \* W1 V越南市场的USDT汇率仍然很高，显示出对稳定币的需求并未减弱。
! O0 W7 W: [( P7 N你们可以比较两张图表：altcoin/BTC和Altcoin/USDT的相对强弱指数。
& w3 n6 P$ M# `8 O从九月初开始。上涨时，alt/btc弱于usdt，因为atl/usdt对冲使用了期货杠杆，而下跌时则强于usdt，因为直接通过现货交易。" B. T5 x: a/ H3 z) f* I% `) D
alt/btc* [$ T+ R$ U, I1 j% f$ p6 j- N2 s
alt/usdt
. S6 v! m: l2 A5 S. }7 X4 y那么，发生了什么？
& z J' R; K; P& r1. 大户轮换资金- f2 u! m1 W, J: @ z
与其直接将山寨币抛售为USDT（会导致alt/USDT图表大幅下滑），大户和市场做市商选择将山寨币转换为BTC或ETH。3 }9 O2 o+ K' w1 ^" o: T% M
这种方式使得alt/USDT对看起来仍然相对稳定。 X) X _1 w2 |: i% x
但实际上，如果观察ALT/BTC或ALT/ETH对，我们会发现山寨币贬值非常严重。
0 W% i' L+ m+ r! J( x( R" b- v2. 市场的防御心理0 i8 q; N: R- {0 n8 B" G7 c u: o
投资者正在缩小风险，优先选择BTC和ETH——这些资产流动性大，波动性小。
S+ B6 E+ L! r6 |( _" r这解释了为什么资金没有流入山寨币，导致它们逐渐疲弱。
% N% \; C6 }2 Q5 W' Q" z. h3. 需要关注的信号
$ T2 e6 }9 y, ]4 c* SBTC主导率和ETH主导率有上升趋势→确认资金流向大币种。
( Y. O: G! ]* g: I% O( K- G. ]0 n4 c' ]山寨币市场总市值持续下降→显示山寨币仍在被抽血。
# @* k% b* I& C8 F. ]+ }" f8 ?% WUSDT保持高价→稳定币需求依然强劲，USDT主导率仍高，但尚未出现资金愿意冒险回流的迹象。
9 H, D1 S. e7 G4. 对投资者的意义
" p2 m( P6 J+ m5 {. Q# k9 v3 y& Z) D; I在这个阶段，缺乏新买盘的山寨币难以形成独立波动。0 P+ J! [" M8 ^& g. M; G' w
如果BTC横盘时间过长后再大幅波动，山寨币可能会被“踩”出一个波段。
- N9 x' N3 S( w7 ~3 T) b# \% ~; `安全策略：关注资金流动，避免过多持有弱势山寨币，集中于顶级币或在强烈信号出现后再大举投资山寨币。3 ~" h$ I; D4 u: G3 [+ b2 u, ^6 l
结论：市场正进入大户收集BTC/ETH流动性的阶段，山寨币只是资金轮换周期中的“猎物”。散户投资者需要保持警觉，不要被alt/USDT尚未崩盘的感觉迷惑，以为这是机会。
0 i0 _- E8 O8 m! R, M3 C/ \. `, E#加密货币#
- n- J( m; |) `3 T6 u1 l' x* A: v3 z" \- v, f" c
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市场操作有点阴谋论，大户在搞鬼转移资金，小散步森严防范保身。 |
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当前离线
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这波山寨币被割得血淋淋的，BTC装死不动，小币全在裸奔，庄家明显在抽水换仓呢 |
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