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[lastpost] => 2774693 比特币又是跌下11万美元了啊 1763396754 g9527
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币价格能否突破 10.3 万美元？分析师指出关键支撑区域。（转）
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在最近的交易日中，比特币价格在9万美元中段的主要阻力位附近徘徊。截至发稿时，比特币价格在9.5万美元左右，比特币交易员密切关注着芝加哥商品交易所（CME）在9.2万美元附近的未回补缺口。
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1 J' L9 H; h( l4 b D比特币价格测试关键期货缺口* Z4 O) ^6 S) s: {$ \
芝加哥商品交易所 (CME) 比特币期货在周末后重新开市时出现了缺口。交易员们经常关注这类缺口，因为价格有时会回落到该水平以弥合价差。+ U- G6 t( `; q1 v
9 F' P+ @: u* |( _独立分析人士表示：当前差距比特币价格接近 92,000 美元左右，这影响了短期预期。市场观察人士 Ted（在 X 交易所的用户名是 @TedPillows）表示，比特币在出现更强劲的反弹之前，很可能会先触及该水平。* e; }& U+ `8 [8 f+ Q
' F2 `' @! w% n* r9 o交易员也发表了评论。伦纳特·斯奈德并分享了一张图表，该图表突出了同样的失衡区域，并强调了当前结构是如何紧密地位于缺口支撑和上轨阻力之间。2 [. ]" C0 g: q5 P4 e1 H
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交易员之间流传的图表显示，阻力位在99,000美元至111,000美元之间逐渐形成。对于短期参与者而言，比特币价格现在位于上轨和下方期货缺口之间。
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# q' b4 j9 A; B0 P( X+ X- K一些分析师将这一区间描述为更深层次回调的开始。另一些分析师则认为这是长期上涨行情中的正常回撤。这种格局将短期交易者置于一个狭窄的区间内，并存在明显的失效点位。9 O/ J7 }! ^( D
+ H0 O3 G: `6 X+ W+ s! b$ |8 u0 }( m现货交易量保持活跃，比特币市值维持在1.8万亿美元以上。分析师表示，在这种背景下，比特币价格在回落后仍有可能重新回到10.1万美元至10.3万美元的区域。8 [" r2 k( w( ]" O! p( D9 B
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除了期货缺口之外，分析师们还关注着大约在 88,000 美元至 90,000 美元之间的更宽的支撑区间。对许多人来说，如果期货引发的抛售持续下去，该区域将是下一个目标价位。' w" I9 c0 P1 R8 `1 T1 l( {6 c ~
比特币价格接近更深的周线支撑位
, h a) [8 z- p7 ?! ~: U周线图显示，从2024年中期开始，有一条上升趋势线穿过该区域。过去一年中，价格在该趋势线附近多次反弹，并在反弹后创出更高的局部高点。
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泰德表示，如果出现更大幅度的回调，该区域可能形成局部底部。他认为，比特币价格可能会在该区域企稳，然后再再次测试上方区间。
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其他分析师指出，如果价格彻底跌破区间和趋势线，周线图上的看涨结构将会削弱。他们表示，这种走势可能会将市场焦点转移到图表下方较早的盘整区域。( l% g( b2 I) [! k9 {& H
/ H, {# w. B% p% y( j4 j/ `, Q, h机构数据为技术层面的分析提供了更多背景信息。贝莱德、富达和灰度等比特币交易所交易基金发行商的每日报告显示，市场需求稳定。分析师表示，即使在价格回调期间，这些资金流动也持续支撑着长期参与。
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