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Michael Saylor 发布增持暗示，100%胜率交易员预测市场再次开单
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比推消息，据PolyBeats监测，持有比特币数量全球第一的上市公司 MicroStrategy 创始人 Michael Saylor，于美东时间 11 月 30 日上午 8 点在 X 上再次发布比特币 Tracker 相关信息。根据此前规律，Strategy 总是在相关消息发布之后的第二天披露增持比特币信息。
推文一经发出，预测市场MicroStrategy 是否会在 11 月 25 日至 12 月 1 日宣布购买比特币？概率应声上涨，从 71% 迅速飙升至 98%。尽管距离结算日期（12 月 1 日）仅剩最后一天，然而该盘口概率目前依然稳定在 90% 左右，显示出市场对 Michael Saylor 信号的超高置信度。
通过分析发现，该盘口还汇聚了一些解读性很强的账户，揭示了交易者对 MicroStrategy 购买战略的深入洞察：用户 danielesta 的账户在此盘口持有总价值超 8300 美元、均价 89?0?4 的Yes，这意味着他极度确定 MicroStrategy 将在截止日期前宣布购买。然而，令人玩味的是，他在另一个关联盘口MicroStrategy 是否会在 11 月 25 日至 12 月 1 日宣布购买 >1000 BTC？中，却持有同样均价的 No 份额（价值 1051 美元）。这种双向操作表明 danielesta 认定 MSTR 必然会在今天宣布购买 BTC，且数额小于 1,000 枚。其唯一一笔历史交易同样是成功预测了 MicroStrategy 的比特币购买时间。
另一名交易员 Ktulhuu 目前持有的唯一一笔仓位，是该盘口均价 93?0?4 的Yes，总价值高达 2.66 万美元。更引人注目的是，他的 6 笔历史交易全部和 MicroStrategy 持有或购买比特币有关，且 6 笔交易均为获利，胜率高达 100%。
风险提示： 本新闻涉及的内容仅供参考，不构成投资建议。依据发布的信息以及所表达的意见行事所造成的一切后果由行事者自负。文章链接 |
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