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[lastpost] => 2774120 币圈“回血大战”开打！孙宇晨出手 2 亿美元跟上币安，但被质疑是真补贴还是营销？ 1760767143 rainwang
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连锁因素、基本面因素和技术面因素的组合表明，以太多头将面临更多痛苦。 " K. p, \3 s5 G2 S5 o" `; Y
以太坊的原生令牌Ether(埃塞俄比亚)的价值在2022年下跌了一半以上，同时对比特币(BTC)目前仍停留在2000美元以下出于几个原因.
# ]/ ?& L! q2 C: f! Q此外，由于另一系列因素，ETH price可能在6月份面临更大的损失，这些因素将在下面讨论。 8 y( Y3 A" G! b. U4 p) r
以太坊基金集体亏损 ( O3 f1 O1 E! D( Z) V
根据CoinShares的每周市场报告，投资者已在2022年从以太坊投资基金中撤出2.5亿美元出版5月31日。
( E1 G3 z- J0 S" i+ h/ w/ E. ~7 S与其他硬币形成鲜明对比的是大量外流。例如，投资者在2022年向基于比特币的投资基金投入了3.69亿美元。
" t# w; ]; g5 k; x8 \与此同时，与以太坊竞争的区块链第一层协议Solana和Cardano分别吸引了1.04亿美元和900万美元。
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编辑切换为居中 4 D* I+ g% y( `# ]* b7 t9 f( Q: L
流入/流出加密资金(按资产) % F6 A! e5 t$ n
这从以太坊基金中提款是一个迹象，表明最近在特拉USD (UST)和特拉(月神)Terra内的令牌算法稳定币生态系统——降低了对整体分散金融(DeFi)部门的兴趣。 ' r& q8 `3 w+ A# q: E+ P
以太网的乐观前景仍然依赖于对DeFi市场繁荣的预期，因为以太坊的区块链托管了该领域的大部分金融应用。截至6月5日，基于以太坊的应用程序锁定的总价值(TVL)为6871万美元，几乎占TVL总DeFi的65%。 4 c8 Z1 N' Z2 o! H. B6 X
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编辑切换为居中 - ?; c( ?4 v- e" S1 ^% @2 L: k
6月5日的TVL以太坊 ) B2 y7 ~ t5 B
但是，TVL仍然反映了以太坊DeFi池的大规模撤退，在5月9日Luna Classic和TerraUSD Classic倒闭之前，该池徘徊在1000亿美元左右。
. c; W4 F. c* L+ s* y5 [$ u' d宏观风险由美联储的鹰派政策根据Tagus Capital的合伙人Ilan Solot的说法，加上对DeFi行业的谨慎前景，乙醚似乎将在6月份继续下跌。 . L& B) A" D; D/ \4 ^4 w& H
男性讲述金融时报:
, O. J2 Y8 R7 j K0 X7 I0 J“如果美联储收紧，世界陷入衰退，人们需要支付每加仑4.5美元的汽油，他们将没有多少钱投资DeFi或花在区块链奥运会上。”
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呆滞的技术面
" q+ Y' U; l2 |1 z自5月以来的交易行为也描绘了以太坊的熊市前景。 n7 Z& U' Y4 t' Q; O, @
具体来说，乙醚一直在水平趋势线支撑和下降趋势线阻力所限定的范围内波动。该形态看起来或多或少像一个“下降三角形”，在下降趋势中形成的熊市延续形态。 4 q* e1 l: R$ `4 r2 w1 u
根据技术分析的规则，下跌三角形在价格决定性地跌破其支撑趋势线后分解，然后下跌三角形的最大高度。如下图所示，乙醚有可能在6月份经历类似的下跌。 1 C3 _9 |! \1 v& k5 q3 l
" J) g7 i+ x3 y4 F5 k. k编辑切换为居中
4 S9 g. A: k0 p, D- ZETH/USD每日价格图采用“下降三角形”设置
% c, h4 R+ z) M* v" w2 [9 m如果ETH的价格跌破三角形的趋势线下限，它可能会在6月份跌至1，350美元，比今天的价格下跌约25%。 7 S5 }, k( x7 _ j6 {- \$ }1 h/ g
交易所的ETH储备正在增加
$ }$ Y5 |7 K9 @+ x$ kCryptoQuant的数据显示，自5月份以来，全球加密交易所的以太网余额总数增加了550，459以太网演出. ( e, v- n0 T8 S7 ^
自Terra崩溃开始以来，这相当于近9.5亿美元的资金流入了交易所的热门钱包。 - p1 G# _5 X" K' I8 T
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编辑切换为居中 - J; i$ o$ Z& U- x2 Y# x* ?: r* V
以太坊外汇储备 + F* ?2 T: z+ j) K0 a. N( N& j
通常，当交易者想用代币交换其他资产时，他们会向交易所发送代币。因此，如果交易所的ETH储备下降趋势开始逆转，抛售压力可能会增加。
5 D) o2 z1 k$ E7 y" A5 ]来源：金色财经 |
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