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在杰克逊霍尔会议导致美国市场崩溃后，比特币进入9月第一周，走的是一条坎坷的下坡路。
% s$ }* a, k' w* G& T; {* U在美联储加强了对通货膨胀前景的鹰派言论后，风险资产全面抛售，加密货币仍在受余波影响。 0 {% S \: m& v
相当稳定的周末并没有改善市场情绪，BTC的价格走势已经回到了20000美元下方的区域。 & N" G& e; {0 p3 G& y# Q
这样一来，持续数周的上行实际上已经消失，交易员和分析师据此预计，比特币将重新测试今年6月的宏观低点。 3 c* B ` }8 d1 ~" }6 W5 F& l# m5 J+ q
虽然在9月加息决定公布之前，有关美联储的一切都很平静，但由于地缘政治的不确定性和通货膨胀持续存在(欧洲的通胀仍在上升)，所以不安空间仍然很大。 $ |7 W0 y& |1 @) z
然而，就像上周一样，比特币作为一个网络似乎在基本面上具有弹性，链上数据与价格图表显示的情况完全不同。
B U: ]! [& F8 z8 j: i& j. jCointelegraph在考虑BTC/USD未来几天可能的走向时研究了以下五个因素。 % J; W/ L2 U: T& ~. _, D
现货价格触发18000美元的目标价格' i+ y' V5 A5 l4 H0 x2 X
Cointelegraph Markets Pro和TradingView的数据证实，猜测BTC/USD在最新一周收盘时的走势并不令人惊讶。 7 r" X0 ~& X' D* t8 J o
在经历了一个相对平静的周末后，BTC/USD在8月28日结束时大幅抛售，创下自7月初以来的最低周收盘价。
5 Q9 [' T5 g2 I# ^* F3 e7 P2000美元的跌幅为多头结束了悲惨的8月，而在此之前一周，还损失了3000美元。 0 N6 Q/ {( m* U5 q ~$ J
0 c/ S1 N1 h4 `# F1 m* f
BTC/USD一周蜡烛图（Bitstamp）来源：TradingView
+ {" F- m+ a; r6 b离月线收盘结束还有几天，分析师们的情绪在短期内不那么乐观，这是可以理解的。
1 T1 _+ f' s! S7 r"希望我们能在本周看到复苏，但上周五股市的收盘方式看起来并不那么好，"交易员Josh Rager在周末更新的部分内容中向其推特粉丝总结道。 6 k# Q- Q$ x/ F# u& U
尽管如此，受欢迎的交易账户Il Capo of Crypto仍然认为，在下跌趋势持续之前，有可能出现短暂的上行挤压。 6 V {. F0 P2 i. t" R
注意到负资金费率意味着衍生品市场倾向于直接亏损，他预测23000美元可能首先重新出现。 ' A/ d- {8 {8 _8 X8 ?: d7 Q
交易员Mark Cullen回应说，交易员 "在20100美元和20300美元之间的区域增加了更多的BTC空头头寸"。
( R2 {. Y3 e, E, G0 L在17000美元或更低的预测中，技术分析师Gert van Lagen给出了日线图上17500美元的最低目标价格。
( K3 Q7 p; I5 t3 ~$ ^9 I% Y, Q同时，TMV Crypto将18400美元视为值得关注的长时间框架领域。 4 \' {! o. F7 ]. x/ Q6 Y8 ^
交易员为美股进一步下跌做准备- p0 {# j! j( U( \/ p
上周，美联储主席杰杰罗姆·鲍威尔(Jerome Powell)的重磅讲话给全球风险资产带来了冲击。 ) F4 X. G2 D6 Z# y0 A6 ?
根统计，鲍威尔8分钟的讲话使全球股市蒸发了超过2万亿美元，其中仅美国股市就占1.25万亿美元。
$ V$ z4 \& x |7 c% |2 _% K+ Z鲍威尔说："在某些时候，随着货币政策的立场进一步收紧，放缓加息步伐可能是合适的。" |
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