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[lastpost] => 2770706 比特币也是逼近12万美元了啊 1759400279 jackcool1011
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币优势,山寨币季节的赔率以及这个深层市场重置(转)
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比特币的优势现在超过63%,标志着所有指标的altcoins的看跌环境' q& B/ k* H# Q# u6 k$ G; d4 |
Stablecoin流动暗示了一个风险阶段,延迟了任何主要的Altcoin突破
+ M6 L/ q* c. I似乎比特币[BTC]现在正在收紧对更广泛的加密货币市场的控制。, x6 _$ O: j$ ?4 q) i# n0 P
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实际上,由于其统治地位超过63%,最新的市场结构可能暗示了对山寨币的艰苦挣扎。
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这种转变由Alphractal首席执行官Joao Wedson在推文中,比特币价格与Altcoin季节指数进行了对比。# ~8 h3 Z1 x) [6 W. d
3 e& r$ @3 K- A4 |; N7 c2 \( z在撰写本文时,不到25%的Altcoins似乎胜过比特币 - 一个教科书比特币季节。
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红色海洋中的四个幸存者
4 [" u3 b) E4 C, A# l* y根据Alphractal的说法,在57个AltCoins中,只有4个胜过比特币,该比特币本身在图表上下降了-17.6%。在少数优于表现的人中pancakeswap [蛋糕]发布了唯一的正回报,数字为 +10.5%。 ]6 A5 t5 _1 z. G, g; |$ r7 g
/ z( ^( N4 ]6 E: R8 t* R简而言之,表现不佳。$ p1 O5 |( Q6 O$ K5 j
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大多数Altcoins返回-20%至-72%,6月的领先损失为-72.4%。尽管比特币自身在图表上下降,但仍然仍然是一个相对的避风港。4 |7 ~8 B' E1 M+ f/ F
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相反,Altcoin“主导”告诉我们同样的故事。
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自11月以来,Altcoin市场份额已从41%下降到37%。除了稳定剂外,它实际上从35%降至28%。. }# Y* o1 r0 ^4 `. a% r
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Altcoin信誉的消失法案
( i' N( @; F* T( u滤除比特币,以太坊和稳定币的粉刷均匀的图片,相同的股票从23%下降到20%。鉴于所有发生的事情,上述下降仅证实了非比币资产中缺乏投资者的信念。9 e7 s% y7 `8 t8 b4 r! F$ `' @
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交易的势头最近也消失了。0 f; j7 S- a, Q) U5 g
, c7 Q& q0 r- ~4 X0 z12月5日,Altcoin市值达到了1.43万亿美元的峰值,数量为5426.3亿美元。然而,到4月3日,这些数字降至97564亿美元和1,373.1亿美元,分别降至32%和296%。1 I9 E7 Y# L, H7 f
1 h% A$ p& p4 M$ o w这些数字描绘了投资者信心减弱的图片。( z2 Z& o6 E+ L+ S% O
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十二月的尖峰没有持续。到3月,在价格和参与中,这种趋势显然已经向南行驶。
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比特币在优势上的上升也与Stablecoin供应率(SSR)的明显信号相吻合。' x& {% _, d0 t1 A# g- \+ z
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当高峰转向警告时
2 w1 t# S: u' d2 _! b; y2月23日,由于比特币价格和SSR同时达到顶峰,因此2月23日是一个转折点。
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1 m; E( P6 Q4 {8 g比特币以96,209美元的价格达到顶峰,同时为16.03 SSR。但是,在三天之内,两者都急剧逆转。到4月,BTC跌至81,800美元,而SSR降至14.21。
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3 V& G9 _% T! w$ \# D& I/ C这种比对可以看作是流动性如何移动信号趋势耗尽的迹象。重要的是,尽管比特币自身损失,但其市场的主导地位就上升了,没有下降。
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7 Q5 T \: H2 u+ H" s每个指标都会得出相同的结论 - Altcoin季节很少见,简短且脆弱。比特币优势(现在超过63%)反映了一个合并的市场,资本流入了人们的安全性。3 z6 G. r6 v+ U8 q6 g( z4 R+ t
5 Q7 Z0 O5 E& m0 g$ N0 h7 p& t比特币还是胸围?
- _* {& Q% [/ j! o. D存在围绕山寨币的短期乐观情绪。但是,数据还表明,如果没有统治性和流动性的结构转移,任何集会都可能保持孤立和简短。
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: C9 ~8 L8 _1 g. m3 x v, w5 X就目前而言,聪明的钱似乎停在比特币中,或者在等待的地方。8 a _) c7 w( M8 K% R
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