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近一周来,币圈可热闹了~比特币价格一度冲破6.4万美元,涨幅高达22.9%,市值逼近1.25万亿美元。然而,金融时报昨日引用摩根大通的分析指出,比特币当前价格已远高于其生产成本,呼吁对这种超出生产成本的价格状态保持警惕,认为其不可持续。有兴趣入手的朋友们可一定要看看这篇了... " j5 ~3 b! z( J- T0 y: e
摩根大通的分析指出,比特币的生产成本大约为27,000美元,主要包括挖矿过程中的电力成本。这一成本提供了比特币价格的支撑,但随着下一次比特币减半即将到来,生产成本将短期内跳升至约50,000美元。金融时报认为,最近的比特币价格飙升使其远高于生产成本,这种情况对过去的比特币来说是不可持续的。 ) I/ {7 L& s; s
在比特币减半之后,不够效率的矿工可能会退出市场,导致算力下降,从而降低生产成本。金融时报文章指出,价格上涨将失去动力,而挖矿处理能力下降将使生产成本相应下降至约43,000美元左右,为当前狂热过后的价格提供新的支撑点。简单来说,金融时报的分析认为,比特币的价格不会长期持续高于矿工成本。
% ]% o" w/ G" ?: N然而,历史数据显示,上一次比特币价格接近或低于挖矿成本是在2022年熊市底时,导致不少矿企倒闭。但在牛市周期中,比特币价格通常会高于挖矿成本,尽管挖矿成本确实是一个有力的价格支撑,但用此判断比特币会回调的话,证据就看来有点薄弱了。
! s( g. ]$ I R. E) `, u" D综合来看,虽然金融时报警示比特币价格可能不可持续,但市场中仍存在看涨声音。根据历史走势,上一轮牛市时期比特币价格通常超过挖矿成本,因此对未来发展保持谨慎乐观的态度或许更为合适。其实虚拟币与股市一样,不是涨就是跌,比特币也会有跌的一天,会否暴跌,或者什么时候暴跌,只有让时间证明了...来,偷偷告诉你们,论坛要轻松攒积分的另一个方法~那就是我们论坛的【星力捕鱼】游戏,你只需在论坛lv2以上,再付上10个贡献值报名费就可参加咯,奖励高达50000策小分的哟!前50名玩家都有奖励拿~好玩且高奖励的活动,还等什么,捕鱼捕起来呗! 1 m* V5 u) ]9 U' _
传送门:【天策游戏】再添新款,星力捕鱼游戏惊艳启航!(活动说明) . ]8 j+ S3 p+ o: Y3 r
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只有多做功课,每日都必须留意比特币的走势,才可以避免大跌时的亏损,有投资比特币的可要多多留意了。 |
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