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[虚拟币交流]
Fed暗示2024降息三次！比特币冲破4.3万美元（14日转）
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( \( L. l( @% n% w美国联准会(Fed)在9、11月连续两次暂停升息后，于今(14)日凌晨3点释出的FOMC声明
. Q1 x# F% t$ }+ m5 G" {; L中，三度维持联邦基准利率在5.25%~5.50%区间不变，一如市场此前预期。
6 E6 r) Z7 g) G且令投资者兴奋的事，主席鲍威尔(Powell)透露降息也已进入Fed视野。- I, U" h. p- J/ Z
官员预计：2024将降息3次6 t$ f% a* L1 ]* S5 {4 m6 S3 P' k% R
虽然Fed在FOMC声明中仍强调实现2%的通货膨胀率是其最终目标，但最新的经济数据表明，经济增长较第三季) Y* r2 F3 }" I7 q& u+ q8 j
度有所放缓，就业依然保持强劲、失业率也维持在较低水平。因此，联准会官员在决定维持利率不变的同时，也4 Q z1 q/ m0 t8 e" |
已经开始讨论降息的时机。
7 i }" u0 y3 s! `' k4 f主席鲍威尔表示：这将是我们展望未来的一个主题，Fed官员预计明年将三次降息25个基点，这将推动市场大幅! | _; F7 ~! j5 J5 S
走高。
: s) h# |" u. |4 z1 R. @* c2 I且根据利率点阵图，联准会官员还预计将在2025年再降息四次，他们相信，将不再需要通过提高利率的方式来缓
6 y% T( L/ C7 a. |$ U( M解CPI压力，因为到今年年底，通膨率将放缓至2.8%，2024年底则将降至2.4%。% L5 g' i. } F4 s- H! x) s G
比特币冲破4.3万5 X5 J/ {, ~' A8 J# |( M1 j
受到Fed宣布不加息、并透露明年考虑降息的激励下，比特币在今(14)晨六点最高来到43,475美元。% ?! m& r9 h; I! {1 S/ D _' v
截稿前略有回落，报42,773美元/近24小时涨幅为3.2%。
1 V) W4 c: \% F以太坊同样呈现上涨趋势，稍早最高攀上2284美元，截稿前报2,255美元/近24小时涨幅为2.3%。# D4 Q' o: B9 e! Z& O. _& D0 r
美股四大指数齐扬
$ d/ }7 u8 q( `, M. R$ O: A回到美股方面，表现也相当亮眼，四大指数齐涨、道指更是创下历史新高：. ^0 g: m2 Z- H" |% u* t, V
道琼工业指数：上涨512.3点(1.4%)，收37090.24点/ W' A- q! N1 R; M
纳斯达克指数：上涨200.57点(1.38%)，收14733.96点
2 Q- I/ k4 W; X6 D, P标普500指数：上涨63.39点(1.37%)，收4707.09点
9 |1 ?; j$ k% d$ \- q7 ~费城半导体指数：上涨60.77点(1.55%)，收3990.95点
1 H3 F8 A' M {8 ` f: H美国10年债殖利率跌破4%
^# e4 X3 u- S& W) \另外美国10年期公债殖利率也呈现较剧烈的下跌，撰稿时跌破4%。5 w y4 G. B, G8 `9 f, u; L" g' X
被誉为「新债券天王」的双线资本(Double Line)创办人Jeffrey Gundlach就预测，美国10年期公债殖利率明年将
3 U+ z& z/ w; Z8 U5 S$ E1 R7 d) k3 a跌到更接近3%水平。
1 O; @" C- X$ r5 o' c4 Z: J4 I/ [: ]# J4 i/ i* u0 x, `" b4 Y# E
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