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[lastpost] => 2809254 比特币一度跳涨至6.6万美元 市场紧盯特朗普国情咨文演讲（转） 1772059605 whywhy
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[虚拟币交流]
TOTAL3 图表预示山寨币即将突破，加密货币市值逼近 3.5 万亿美元（转）
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本周，加密货币市场总市值一度突破3.5万亿美元，标志着全球市场风险偏好显著回升。比特币（BTC）价格突破10.5万美元，以太坊（ETH）价格在过去一周上涨逾41%，数字资产市场普遍呈现看涨势头。0 }3 h; X. `. G3 F
* p# \' j3 x! s8 k( L$ n5 q; W包括 Bittensor (TAO)、人工智能超级智能联盟 (FET)、Near Protocol (NEAR)、Internet Computer (ICP)、RENDER 在内的人工智能代币也呈现上涨势头。与此同时，表情包代币 PEPE、BONK、FARTCOIN、DOGE打印每日有大量绿色蜡烛。# z/ E8 i9 ]0 ]/ R" J* [6 n( H0 n
% V9 C6 Y) U/ T ?( Q" ITOTAL3 图表显示山寨币蓬勃发展，瞄准更高的目标9 W: ^9 H) \1 }& N+ W
根据 TradingView 的 Total3 图表（不包括比特币和以太坊）的数据，更广泛的山寨币市场已经从下跌楔形中突破看涨趋势，目前正向关键的斐波那契阻力位推进。
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' _' E% p( s+ T# }* l7 kTotal3 从近期接近 7,820 亿美元的低点上涨至 9,220 亿美元，在突破 0.618（8,940 亿美元）和 0.5（8,730 亿美元）水平后，重新测试了 0.786 斐波那契回撤水平（9,250 亿美元）。0 X5 y9 ~- ?8 j# [6 ]
: C' m; J: K0 y0 z) B相对强弱指数 (RSI) 位于 70.30，表明市场过热，但看涨压力持续存在。与此同时，MACD 线已突破信号线，且缺口保持健康，柱状图也不断收窄，这确认了整体看涨势头。
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有关的： 加密货币不再边缘化：瑞银认为富裕客户使用比特币和山寨币作为投资组合对冲
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I6 y' ~# D3 ~$ `重要的是，下一个主要阻力位位于之前的局部高点 9640 亿美元，其次是 1.618 的延伸目标 1.08 万亿美元——如果达到这一水平，可能会巩固当前作为全面山寨币季节的突破。
$ r4 }5 y0 ?9 `" @! W" @$ T, G$ ?; I% e2 D- `
宏观利好因素增强了这一前景8 E% Q c/ v. a" ?8 U
总部位于新加坡QCP Capital 属性近期加密货币价格飙升，引发了一系列看涨的宏观事件。
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2 M1 K+ v J% L8 W* S美国与沙特达成的具有里程碑意义的6000亿美元贸易协议，降低了全球关税预期，推高了股市和加密货币。加之美国消费者物价指数低于预期，市场目前预期美联储将降息，预计2025年将降息两次。
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- e* R+ n* z$ ~2 i& e有关的： 如果比特币价格达到 10.9 万美元，BTC 的主导地位将成为山寨币季节线索的关键
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尽管美联储依然谨慎且依赖数据，但风险偏好情绪仍主导着投资者行为。值得注意的是，Coinbase 即将于 5 月 19 日被纳入标普 500 指数，这可能会进一步刺激该领域的资金流入，就像特斯拉在 2020 年底被纳入标普 500 指数一样，起到催化剂的作用。
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