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[lastpost] => 2788753 比特币在FOMC会议后下跌，此举为新的政策基调定下基调。（转） 1765464486 人生如赌
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[虚拟币交流]
以太坊正取代比特币主导币圈？ETF连续六日净流入超越比特币（转）
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自5月以来，美国现货以太坊ETF持续获得资金净流入。在过去六个交易日中，以太坊ETF净流入近24亿美元，远超同期比特币ETF的8.27亿美元。且以太坊ETF在这六个交易日中每天的净流入均超过比特币。+ R+ n3 a. L! K5 z4 U7 g, U! }' w$ t
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过去几周，以太坊表现远超比特币，两者的价格比率自此前创下的2019年以来低点强劲反弹。2 n, G7 Z6 q5 f9 Q, T
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以太坊CME期货相较现货的年化溢价已超过10%，超过比特币的水平，促使一些头寸从比特币转向以太坊。8 v4 D8 a7 s$ Q" y& t
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自5月以来，美国现货以太坊ETF持续获得资金净流入。在过去六个交易日中，以太坊ETF净流入近24亿美元，远超同期比特币ETF的8.27亿美元。且以太坊ETF在这六个交易日中每天的净流入均超过比特币。6 V7 X" g! j0 Q' r1 E
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6 H6 y6 y4 J. q& T4 W: c" | 高盛加密团队指出，与越来越多企业将比特币纳入财务储备类似，近期一些美国上市公司也开始建立以太坊储备。据估计，这些公司在过去一个月共购入超15亿美元ETH。
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) f: K) M5 P0 U, B" r+ y, { 其中，BitMine Immersion Technologies在过去16天内购买价值20亿美元的ETH，现已成为企业中最大的以太坊持有者。4 }: o' P7 G- n2 `3 `
% r/ B+ T0 T/ y6 e/ A9 `3 L4 f 当前以太坊前十大持有者（包括美国ZF）合计持有超160万枚ETH（价值约合60亿美元），部分机构的持仓已超过以太坊基金会。这一规模仍仅占以太坊约4000亿美元流通供应的一小部分，也低于过去一年流通的1750亿美元ETH。
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Galaxy Digital首席执行官Michael Novogratz 预测，ETH价格将升至4000美元，并将在未来六个月跑赢比特币。他指出，BitMine和SharpLink Gaming近期大量购入ETH，可能引发供应冲击。$ n5 i3 C7 p) ^2 m) U; q% _2 R5 y! z I- s
# Z5 y# _3 P3 g8 x y: j 全球M2货币供应量（包括美国、欧元区、日本、英国和加拿大）上升，意味着市场流动性充裕，这有望推动更多资本流入高风险资产如加密货币。
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" ~, B T( n5 V! o: m" f! ] 以太坊在2025年似乎正在跟随类似的M2供应增长轨迹（基于Wyckoff积累模型），尽管存在一定滞后。! s1 l. O- F _: p( `: `
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分析师TedPillows在X平台表示：“若与M2增长趋势对应，ETH当前应已突破8000美元。这表明ETH当前被严重低估，可能是当下最具潜力的交易之一。”
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本周一，现货比特币ETF结束了连续12个交易日的资金净流入，当日录得1.31亿美元净流出。此前12日累计净流入高达66亿美元。瑞士区块链研究机构Swissblock预计此趋势将持续，认为：“随着市场进入新一轮周期，- F5 ~& [, }* P, Z0 ?
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