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[1603] => 虚拟币交流
[1753] => 数字钱包
[1754] => 虚拟币存提
[1755] => 交易所
[1655] => 虚拟币资讯
[1756] => 银行卡
[1757] => 第三方支付
[1760] => 币圈大佬
[1758] => 科技前沿
[1759] => 天策嗨聊
[1661] => 入驻合作
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[lastpost] => 2759670 鲸鱼从交易所撤出 2 万 BTC:这对比特币的反弹意味着什么(转) 1756048985 人生如赌
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上次分享了第一篇,这次继续来分享第二篇。 2 b0 L5 A& h$ v t+ s
9 s% D4 C. R; \1 w- U5. 废话的不对称原则
6 G8 n9 w" }8 x2 q, L# E5 z反驳废话所需的能量比产生废话要大一个数量级。
4 w- {, H/ o3 }6 J* R/ O! E2 ^
1 R3 X( Q1 T- {# ]4 i6 G+ q2 D" z回想: 写 luna 的优点=成千的点赞。
# {6 m! v! B8 X/ Q7 f' J) C8 q; f! ^
写 luna 的缺点=无数的敌人和谩骂。4 X9 i* G s2 }) `/ j. j
* T& W/ w. l8 o; ^# b. f
每个周期,都会有邪教类型的项目,人们无视核心,只因利益一致而拼死维护。
& z/ Q% h! x0 X0 \4 m2 W9 W9 P$ |. V9 w
而对抗它们需要太多的精力。
+ | [- ~+ r3 E1 {9 q, T# J h
/ ^$ l4 ]4 g R$ G1 N6.风险不可知原则(黑天鹅), Y$ G1 [6 \! b+ ?9 M- Q+ C
被知道的风险:智能合约漏洞。
% N& y4 x9 f0 ]2 @. |6 s" _, O! W$ F7 P T2 X
不可知的风险:911、3箭崩溃等。* i. ]4 R$ E( T
- W& i6 H6 w# d! ?因为不可知的风险一直存在,只有多样化才能防范。
( [4 B) e- I Y) Y0 b6 J9 P3 L2 T) [2 z4 G! ]* z
想象一下罕见事件:- O4 v" `4 s* f( \# b3 x
3 L/ @0 o9 s4 m" E6 Z• 中本聪的钱包苏醒
0 t* F$ Z* W b# g9 r \/ J2 e) b e0 A0 O
• 核打击$ D" P. K4 u) [! h7 f% r4 Z6 o6 ], C
1 P) e: a1 {; G) Z我们倾向于低估黑天鹅的影响!
9 s$ M6 U$ E, N. |: A. X" E" B6 z
7.二八定律4 X, x% t# h+ I4 T; I' X
在币圈:
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# i6 P$ k, ]1 i# _0 ~80% 的收入来自 20% 的协议。
% A3 ~/ t# |1 Z ^( v" [
" I% P: Z8 L" k& L: X# l0 a* F80%的利润被20%的人拿走。2 k& W* i4 e+ o4 ~
. I( e7 k7 N: L" K7 ~9 s
我们大多数时候是8,而不是2,时刻警惕这一点。
3 |4 ~( _3 }, [. r* r5 v8 M/ F: M5 a" h
8.网络效应
, K) X! T8 m; m% ~# s产品随着更多用户加入而更有价值。) E; c* c+ x/ x* l- i5 T. V2 A
3 W; N! U$ e' t+ C6 j想想脸书如果没人使用会有什么价值?
( @# J% I8 R* D! _' U. _7 P6 O7 [* Z o1 \! _
一个产品产生了网络效应,就成为了护城河。" ~9 i9 @/ T1 P( f/ Y* Z' |% c% l
z8 r9 ^% z. E+ {. g* s. B
投资时,要考虑什么产品能产生护城河。 往往只有一个产品能获胜。! d% X$ r1 W# N0 Q
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