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[lastpost] => 2758898 《以太坊》：一部要拍到天荒地老的古装短剧 1755869495 小希哥
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比特币价格今日徘徊在112,980美元左右，在经历了一周的震荡走势后，小幅上涨0.1%，此前该货币对曾从121,000美元附近的高点回落。BTC在日线图上仍处于上升平行通道内，但目前正在测试该通道的下限。自4月份以来，112,000美元左右的通道底部一直是关键的需求区域。如果价格跌破该区域，则可能进一步跌至108,000美元。
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* K5 }# y8 S+ t# m) YBTC 价格动态（来源：TradingView）
& L7 l" d$ w' F; Q- u智能货币概念在12万美元附近显示出反复的“特征变化”（CHoCH）信号，表明顶部已出现疲态。目前，价格稳定在111,800美元至113,200美元的关键流动性区间上方，表明短期内价格保持稳定，但动能有限。) ~( R) v) z9 y/ J9 n2 O
3 @" p Q3 |( ] s为什么比特币价格今天下跌？
3 B, ?# f' @1 jBTC 价格动态（来源：TradingView）9 K" W) Q* K* }2 e; j
近期比特币价格下跌，技术和链上信号共同作用。BTC 在 4 小时图上一直低于超级趋势指标 115,500 美元，这增强了看跌情绪。方向运动指数 (DMI) 显示 -DI 线远高于 +DI 线，且 ADX 正在上升，这意味着卖方趋势强劲。
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BTC 价格动态（来源：TradingView）; f6 z0 k0 w/ [1 Z- G Z; q
与此同时，4小时图上的20/50/100均线均呈看跌趋势，高于价格，200均线位于116,200美元，构成上方阻力。布林带确认了这一压力，K线图收于111,800美元至113,000美元之间的下轨附近。+ T" X, S2 E2 v, ]; s. |
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BTC 链上分析（来源：Coinglass）
% Z- a4 d# Y9 S链上资金流动也表明人们应该谨慎行事。数据显示，8 月 22 日净流入金额为 6600 万美元，这意味着更多资金正在涌入交易所。过去，价格下跌时流入资金增加往往是获利了结和可能出现抛售压力的迹象。9 ?" J% B- ]3 v3 ?; g* |7 z( ?
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关键指标信号压缩相位
/ i) \* r5 t) C$ L0 oBTC 价格动态（来源：TradingView）
" j5 M) m. F( R0 A30分钟图上的日内走势显示，BTC在113,200美元附近的下降趋势线下方盘整。RSI在盘中早些时候跌破40后，已小幅回升至52，表明动能中性。成交量加权平均价格(VWAP)与价格在112,981美元附近紧密贴合，表明价格处于均衡状态。; D$ s, V% J- ]& D4 X
2 k' q4 V% a$ r5 [* y1 H& V3 r这种压缩结构可能预示着价格将出现大幅波动。突破 113,500 美元，可能触发回落至 115,000 美元；而未能守住 112,000 美元，则可能跌向 110,000 美元，甚至可能跌至 108,500 美元。
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: i* m R; e9 N) JBTC价格预测：短期展望（24小时）
9 C' S/ I9 V; P3 i$ D! A" n: W未来24小时内，比特币价格走势取决于多头能否守住112,000美元至112,500美元区间。若能守住该区间，则有望反弹至113,800美元和115,500美元，但EMA和超级趋势线的看跌走势在短期内有利于卖方。' A! I g9 s8 y0 }7 h# l! w
1 ^- @# F+ w5 [: t5 z9 r' ]. j: k& k如果BTC跌破11.2万美元关口，下一个支撑位将在110,800美元，随后是108,500美元附近的强劲需求。相反，如果日收盘价突破115,500美元，将抵消近期看跌倾向，并重新开启通往119,000美元的道路。
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当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 13846 小时
本月在线: 439 小时
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