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如何简单的判断下盘
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长期的积累我发现判断下盘欧亚结合互相论证一下，胜率是非常高的。首先一般判断下盘可出欧赔是基础，我重点关注的是威廉和立博还有伟德的赔率，当让球方的取胜[color=#0000ff][color=#444444]赔率[/color][/color]三家权威的分歧在0.2以上的时候，大家就要注意了，通常这样的情况下受让方胜出的赔率分歧应该也是比较大的。举个比较经典的例子可能判断起来更加直观一点： 赔率
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1 L4 E& Q# f5 N查顿VS李斯特城
) y/ O, ~3 |5 @4 w* L$ w/ F威廉1.80 3.50 3.50
4 B9 B) p" X0 a0 ]) H1 Z0 t立博1.57 3.50 5.00 变盘后为1.66 3.40 4.336 M, ~' a' c( g0 z0 n+ E0 k
" ]1 g V6 M# `& h1 F2 t r* ^6 w% B& ]大家可以发现主胜初始分歧很大为0.23，客胜更是达到了惊人的1.50，惟有平局赔率在3.50显得稍高，结合亚洲让球盘，主队半一退半球，新手搏击上盘感觉上比较好，主赢全赢，但是有经验的看盘手就会感到主队稍微显得便宜，这场比赛我经过仔细分析以后认为，在主胜和客胜分歧如此大的情况下，出哪个可能都不是很大，平局[url=http://live.3531.com/odds.html][color=#0000ff][color=#444444]赔率[/color][/color][/url]虽然在3.50左右，可能是庄家用高平水来阻击平局，特别是立博变盘以后我更加相信平局应该是最大可能了，一般情况下立博对英超的把握还是比较准确的。所以我重拳出击了下盘，附带标盘买了平局，因为想验证一下自己的感觉小去了1：1的波胆，结果虽然比较惊险，但是结果一切尽在掌握，李斯特城在最后阶段把比分追成了2：2，验证了我的看法。当然这样的例子还有很多，昨晚的古迪比就是一个绝好的下盘选择，伟德和威廉的客胜分歧比较大，亚盘开出半一来增加闲家对上盘的信心，其实对照欧赔可以发现古迪比胜出赔率分歧也是比较大的，很难胜出。
7 Q% a. P, a% A. G4 O# z1 ?
% g, K$ R, l( S以上只是我的一点小看法，只是希望能够给广大波友提供一个分析判断的思路，对大家能有所启发 |
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当前离线
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当前离线
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当前离线
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当前离线
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