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[打法交流]
还记得Dwan回归首秀的那把AA撞KK撞QQ吗？来测测你对翻前强牌相撞赢率的了解！（转）
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扑克圈最近因为《深夜尬牌（Poker After Dark）》的回归和Tom Dwan重回电视扑克真人秀而引发了大片轰动。特别是在某一期节目中，Tom Dwan、Antonio Esfandiari和Daniel Negreanu一起打出的那手AA vs. KK vs. QQ的诡异牌局，更是引发了扑克圈的广泛讨论...
3 C$ H3 e0 J6 @0 r# b8 RAA vs. KK vs. QQ的局面并非今年首次出现，但外媒PokerNews仍为该专题开设了一次能力测试。以下就是以德州扑克中强牌相撞为核心所列出的8道选择题，答对6题即为合格。答错了也不用担心，答案后面会有相关解析。虽然题目并不算难，但想全部答对也是需要点功底的，快来测测你的水平吧~0 R7 j% s% x. Z; C3 J
Q1：在那局三人对抗中，Dwan最终用A♠A♣加注全下，魔术师用K♥K♣跟注，而丹牛则见状放弃了Q♦Q♣。Dwan和魔术师决定发两次牌，最终两次都由Dwan胜出，赢下了一个近70万刀的大底池。这个结果并不让人吃惊，因为AA对KK本身就有____ 的优势。
, z: F. ?/ O9 p; e6 |" dA. 近62%
. {+ j7 ?) _) qB. 73%; [: h4 S5 _* _3 `; |! b' X
C. 近82%/ u5 r% [" X$ G
Q2：假设丹牛用Q♦Q♣跟注，那么他击败Dwan的A♠A♣ 和魔术师的K♣K♥的概率有多大？
8 K, w* `+ X! H. }2 b- yA. 不到8%
5 K3 D/ M% f) c+ Z$ d7 @1 UB. 略高于15%
: q: c$ m0 Q1 u, g3 G9 ^0 RC. 27%
( R( `. d2 [* N/ RQ3：丹牛在弃牌时曾说他怀疑Dwan和魔术师俩人都是AK。那么如果丹牛用Q♦Q♣跟注，而他的两个对手又的确都是AK的话，他最终取胜的概率是多少呢？
; g8 ?" \! I) }, T, A* U2 ]) EA. 35%
. Y, O& V, X. ]8 k% k5 eB. 不到50%9 f' A- G( f$ y- N% r3 ~
C. 约65%2 T2 Z3 V$ |* L
Q4：如果你用K♣K♥全下撞上A♠A♣，那么你的赢率还不到18%；但如果你用KK跟注而对手拿着A♠K♦，那么你的赢率会是多少？
# D4 I1 D! M9 v& U# OA. 刚好超过55%) I/ `. \, C, A1 }; I0 Y
B. 约70%1 H, i$ u7 r( P S
C. 近85%
6 {, h7 z) G* d# q4 G l9 U! f8 aQ5：如果你用A♠K♦全下撞上Q♦Q♣，你的赢率是多少？
( ?9 O* n! [/ }5 M! s$ z$ eA. 33%& d, Y+ h. A+ z! }( d+ `# K* M
B. 约43%( y" h, w: g1 l% L9 c
C. 近52%
2 o4 y) h% q: V: p9 lQ6：底牌拿到AA、KK、QQ中任意一手的概率有多大？! t( A! s& O& q5 z# K0 w
A. 1/1106 u, v2 M- A6 Z
B. 1/73
$ f' m# Q! k2 z6 p2 ~0 v) F7 \C. 1/54
# Y2 p2 p4 i, V% T1 XQ7：底牌拿到AK的概率有多大？
5 N! m1 F& {6 Z( `+ b' m% O: ZA. 1/82
( d" C# [6 J( ]6 h6 UB. 1/45
% G: N% i" H; }: j0 {. z7 {( WC. 1/331 D! ~ A: C# Q
Q8：最后，你认为自己被发到AA的概率有多大？
: L& L3 K' A( c, y# n, nA. 每221手牌被发到一次
* Q7 x$ t% U0 b( i3 [: q( s: J3 mB. 每110手牌被发到一次! H6 ?8 e, Z& u7 b$ D
C. 每117手牌被发到一次1 e* x3 o; T6 V" e( D, h+ b
。 。 。 。 。 ; ` Z \/ _) o$ d9 W. N3 ]
正确答案：+ y+ ?" u- s% U& F
1. C
0 |3 x K ]2 x l6 p9 DDwan的AA对魔术师的KK有着近乎82%的赢率
8 H/ a k: ?6 ]/ b# p2. B ; n% j2 L4 [ ^) q; x1 k- T
正确答案是略高于15%
( O3 g7 F- B) W$ p/ d; \, O3. C
; T" s1 N5 W+ y4 e. H% J. X: dQQ对抗AK有略高于65%的赢率+ T4 L3 P2 Q0 S2 f* C6 w
4. B
; G% b# M8 \4 f7 t$ WKK对抗AK有大约70%的赢率3 M- `5 v ~: z
5. B , {% W4 r7 X7 @0 ^, H
AK对抗QQ有大约43%的赢率6 ?0 R* c! T* H! x
6. B
8 h5 K% y; H* O) m Z底牌拿到AA、KK、QQ中任意一手的概率约为1/73
7 q1 [6 P' C2 x8 H& q7. A % w0 z; I; n4 L; V4 r$ ~9 _
在德州扑克中，手牌被发到AK（不管是否同花）的概率约为1/82# ]5 s# g% \( W8 ~& }8 O' d" |
8. A3 n/ Z; G8 ?3 ?5 q' D" L
手牌被发到AA的概率约为每221手牌发到一次 j" ?0 }, N. D# @- O. t
. Y7 I' r' e0 W9 i
8 ~5 B+ Q$ {) j3 U5 _" e z$ e
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