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[打法交流]
还记得Dwan回归首秀的那把AA撞KK撞QQ吗？来测测你对翻前强牌相撞赢率的了解！（转）
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扑克圈最近因为《深夜尬牌（Poker After Dark）》的回归和Tom Dwan重回电视扑克真人秀而引发了大片轰动。特别是在某一期节目中，Tom Dwan、Antonio Esfandiari和Daniel Negreanu一起打出的那手AA vs. KK vs. QQ的诡异牌局，更是引发了扑克圈的广泛讨论...
: X0 z( E3 N& M/ b" j: uAA vs. KK vs. QQ的局面并非今年首次出现，但外媒PokerNews仍为该专题开设了一次能力测试。以下就是以德州扑克中强牌相撞为核心所列出的8道选择题，答对6题即为合格。答错了也不用担心，答案后面会有相关解析。虽然题目并不算难，但想全部答对也是需要点功底的，快来测测你的水平吧~
* \" \( P4 x \9 \Q1：在那局三人对抗中，Dwan最终用A♠A♣加注全下，魔术师用K♥K♣跟注，而丹牛则见状放弃了Q♦Q♣。Dwan和魔术师决定发两次牌，最终两次都由Dwan胜出，赢下了一个近70万刀的大底池。这个结果并不让人吃惊，因为AA对KK本身就有____ 的优势。
* P) c$ X. Y3 `9 RA. 近62%
5 H9 V/ g& X" o; A9 NB. 73%
+ [/ x" b+ X8 A9 g( R/ E7 xC. 近82%
) k8 t/ P1 d; W- a5 ^6 b1 V' N$ X' H9 HQ2：假设丹牛用Q♦Q♣跟注，那么他击败Dwan的A♠A♣ 和魔术师的K♣K♥的概率有多大？+ U! ~( V# G: }1 g& S
A. 不到8%
% D2 M! u1 |9 P7 qB. 略高于15%
8 R T, ^1 y! g9 a5 i8 e6 l: R! {C. 27%7 a1 W+ f- ~6 W9 d: L" L6 m
Q3：丹牛在弃牌时曾说他怀疑Dwan和魔术师俩人都是AK。那么如果丹牛用Q♦Q♣跟注，而他的两个对手又的确都是AK的话，他最终取胜的概率是多少呢？* K4 E3 P& W; ~7 @1 k; r; K9 O
A. 35%, A0 F0 X4 T; b/ \ F, y
B. 不到50%: ]) b1 h. x- n% ]
C. 约65%
/ e% j: t: n1 f! O l( DQ4：如果你用K♣K♥全下撞上A♠A♣，那么你的赢率还不到18%；但如果你用KK跟注而对手拿着A♠K♦，那么你的赢率会是多少？$ }( q9 \8 J( K: c! P& w& s
A. 刚好超过55%! q+ N2 _3 `. m1 B, b& g
B. 约70%
t7 c% c+ v% [8 p: `* s0 zC. 近85%5 \5 }8 B; U" v0 |! \2 N
Q5：如果你用A♠K♦全下撞上Q♦Q♣，你的赢率是多少？
$ _! h N8 b f/ X. V+ C; w0 QA. 33%
6 F' B9 a- q: M" X% p4 jB. 约43%7 V2 P9 h, W' m: S
C. 近52%
: \" ^6 t5 [& t" CQ6：底牌拿到AA、KK、QQ中任意一手的概率有多大？. N+ O+ M+ o# L- ?5 U! r. Q; T! `
A. 1/110
4 y/ w' k7 j3 K5 t2 S& ?2 ^, {( @B. 1/73
0 s4 b- d( |0 L; b* fC. 1/54, R$ S% ?3 g; `8 i2 |& h% k# t4 f
Q7：底牌拿到AK的概率有多大？
E" W- u7 n, [$ @- U; vA. 1/82+ k K6 f9 `; D! I4 }2 q
B. 1/45/ k3 \8 s* }& R$ y* M
C. 1/33
& l. e- e' t% N' ]' |Q8：最后，你认为自己被发到AA的概率有多大？4 L% B" U' m! [9 p1 S0 L
A. 每221手牌被发到一次. C3 g# }/ y% ~& d! w( C8 I( Y
B. 每110手牌被发到一次
?$ L4 B; D6 _) P, t4 ]4 }& i7 `C. 每117手牌被发到一次. b4 N/ Y7 u4 r$ |4 Q
。 。 。 。 。 ! j5 b ~6 [3 H" p9 @1 ~! R: j8 i
正确答案：; [+ H. k8 p0 ]& ~" R# @( R% X
1. C * V( D6 v2 v( Y C
Dwan的AA对魔术师的KK有着近乎82%的赢率4 c8 k$ `9 V; _# x. X" A7 C
2. B
4 _! \3 Q+ `( |正确答案是略高于15%
* ?1 `9 _! d8 S3 F5 _& h# N3. C . ]- f. g" X+ b4 ?/ U/ n+ o) A
QQ对抗AK有略高于65%的赢率( A1 l: R( K* r, j9 d
4. B
1 u% }$ j, S# Q2 i, QKK对抗AK有大约70%的赢率
a' p% b; I" v' Z8 x {2 [! d5. B
! t7 {3 n: F4 v" ~. l" qAK对抗QQ有大约43%的赢率
$ v/ N) |9 c5 a; r, {! Z$ a& `6. B 6 B" k2 P. Q* ~+ o# j$ U6 J, `
底牌拿到AA、KK、QQ中任意一手的概率约为1/735 a1 U4 D% b) `8 z" n6 H
7. A , O" T8 h! l$ O9 n
在德州扑克中，手牌被发到AK（不管是否同花）的概率约为1/82
6 [2 H* @, d+ f0 {8. A% s" Y( F; d4 B& O, H
手牌被发到AA的概率约为每221手牌发到一次3 W6 x& q& X P8 S& c% G' r/ O/ j
8 u& A( e8 }3 ?- Y8 j' O9 o
3 {5 [- W; _4 Y2 q$ K* M% V; J |
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