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[lastpost] => 2760544 学美国微策略？日本版来了，疯狂加仓比特币 1756614499 天策-菱玖
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硬币的两面是运气和风险。 G( Y8 t8 z. U' u* V- d
运气和风险都是长尾事件，或者是个人投资者无法控制的不可预见的事件，对回报影响很大。
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$ g* i) Q' L9 c" G' c# H; `% v聪明的投资者非常注重降低风险，并会分散和/或对冲他们的投资组合。
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x) f: s4 z0 _( p+ `; i& e
; f9 A) [* I6 s* }. p然而，运气也会对回报产生同样的影响。世界上最成功的人非常幸运，在正确的时间出现在正确的地方。
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5 w( R* }2 V& P- t例如，比尔•盖茨认为，如果他不在高中学习计算机知识，他就不会创造微软。
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这些随机的运气往往会扭曲投资者的认知，使他们更倾向于幸存者偏差，导致他们试图复制那些真正不可复制的成功。) W! S0 b0 l: R# Q; G
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0 X4 \% g( G# Y, K5 |. h* C为了缓解这种情况，Morgan建议投资者尝试以他们真正能模仿的人或品质为例。
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/ ? F* n- j. |: |- w) B+ {3 n# A; S
也是的呀，所以没运气的人注定不好 |
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& B0 ~, E. m# K4 n3 }7 T: }每个人的看法就不一样吧 |
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