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[1754] => 虚拟币存提
[1755] => 交易所
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[1756] => 银行卡
[1757] => 第三方支付
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上次分享了第一篇,这次继续来分享第二篇。
" K# ^8 e" Y$ x/ D! t& k% _8 n
; g' s3 d. F, P, H7 W# s+ n1 `5. 废话的不对称原则
( L" L! A1 G+ L; c3 x反驳废话所需的能量比产生废话要大一个数量级。
{2 x* D9 s, i4 y: R7 A6 ?) N; e9 _6 W8 U" }
回想: 写 luna 的优点=成千的点赞。* j4 |) Q- |" A. S) A0 R
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写 luna 的缺点=无数的敌人和谩骂。
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$ J8 z; C, F$ I* h每个周期,都会有邪教类型的项目,人们无视核心,只因利益一致而拼死维护。
5 p. C% U, @: L! h. R( v$ @, B' F$ |* H
而对抗它们需要太多的精力。
; W* U4 ^( p9 Y. g+ b2 H4 U; I6 r+ I1 v) r" Y1 I
6.风险不可知原则(黑天鹅)
( ]1 n- d# A" T6 K+ A8 f3 S" L被知道的风险:智能合约漏洞。
8 B' G) N o6 [8 G& R0 u( ]' \( a1 P5 R
不可知的风险:911、3箭崩溃等。
) m" L5 V# k. [; `( f0 W& l1 |5 {" M( \2 k9 w* `$ k1 V6 s* v- |
因为不可知的风险一直存在,只有多样化才能防范。
2 G) y" H) P* E, ?* D+ S2 ~9 r& t9 h* Q O7 D7 q. K
想象一下罕见事件:- x9 m( ?$ S# D, ^, f; w
/ _9 A9 K' s* {! ~; T7 K• 中本聪的钱包苏醒
- V# g ]5 Z; a/ X% N
) d3 y/ T7 i F7 I$ i6 ^• 核打击
" C. K' W/ A& n: a I% n* @
+ L- v, [9 r. {6 ^7 v/ K: F4 ]. h我们倾向于低估黑天鹅的影响!
2 V* ]: a9 R% T% ]- d
1 R8 I# k9 H* ]. h, X7.二八定律9 N* O( x. Z4 F- L5 G7 K
在币圈:
/ q& Y3 X9 Q' P4 V3 i/ C4 X9 X3 A/ u! |' d
80% 的收入来自 20% 的协议。3 H( h; O- ~; {7 X/ |
" C3 s) A+ i) t7 r; N80%的利润被20%的人拿走。+ U) V% d" E& C
* y6 T2 S7 Q5 P6 X7 j2 O- D
我们大多数时候是8,而不是2,时刻警惕这一点。2 i4 W) R2 }" B0 j# U4 H
3 e! I7 s$ a- C8.网络效应
7 T- u2 P { s! |; ~1 F产品随着更多用户加入而更有价值。4 L3 x4 d: t, `& u
/ j- g' h2 ~5 w7 R9 q
想想脸书如果没人使用会有什么价值?
4 j( \! q. A. ]. K" `) @+ J
* @* U" w, t" Q* L9 l一个产品产生了网络效应,就成为了护城河。
# H2 z2 {& ^1 D, {: l# n! B' |8 `# [: {( Z, n
投资时,要考虑什么产品能产生护城河。 往往只有一个产品能获胜。; [7 ~/ C! d( A1 j9 [4 ~# c) g
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