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[lastpost] => 2813455 当最后一枚比特币被挖出后，会发生什么？（转） 1774673874 jackcool1011
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比特币最近甚至大幅跑赢了自10月底以来一直走高的道琼斯工业平均指数和标普500指数。 K: z+ {8 }: D7 f
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监管机构有望很快批准首只现货比特币交易所交易基金(ETF)是比特币上涨背后的主要推动力，
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专家预测，这将引发投资者对数字资产的新一轮兴趣。 # B# h: D! N1 D) b! D3 W
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有关美联储明年将多次降息的预期升温也给比特币带来提振，利率下降通常利好比特币和科技) P+ V0 Q) h l) x8 m U8 O6 ^$ g
; Q; @2 `! D7 j. [5 D+ E股等风险较高的投资。
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; ?; `# T+ a, C1 @& y芝加哥商品交易所(CME)的美联储观察(FedWatch)工具显示，联邦基金期货交易员预计，美联储9 L9 f$ X3 `3 S& ?, V
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明年3月降息25个基点的概率超过50%，高于一周前的21.5%。
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现在的问题是，比特币接下来会怎么走？除了供应和需求之外，比特别几乎没有什么基本面驱动; |% O8 c9 F+ \) O
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因素，但分析人士认为，比特币还有更大的上涨空间。 7 F" I6 `5 b2 }8 ^! P+ ^7 Z
- c* r5 C0 u2 ]/ ?2 a从技术面来看，比特币在过去被证明波动非常大的一个区间内拥有上涨动能。
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' t: p6 M6 T( U+ d1 @' D; }% X% W更广泛地来看，虽然比特币有进入超买区域的风险，但交易数据显示，交易量仍然相对低迷，因此- r+ y/ N/ V6 l" j# f2 B g7 X. L
0 T, i% g' _ [1 l仍有许多交易商可能买入。 9 r+ T2 ]# ^9 I4 ?9 n6 ?$ c! `
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库普齐克维奇说：“越来越多的投资者会因为‘害怕错过’(FOMO)而买入。”FOMO是加密货币最强大的6 v- x& ^! q# ]; I9 r" |* o
1 g: M* |6 a* N( E W2 h/ ~+ F- C" ^推动力之一。 ?. R* c. `$ w3 X$ C& u* s
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' X& Q" p7 z+ Q% G" R4 H4 X有证据显示，许多散户和机构交易员仍在离场观望，近期的上涨可能会吸引更多人买入。
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* b) Y) g: ?+ s/ p: ^+ X/ d6 T需求增加的同时，比特币供应紧张——许多长期持有者不愿卖出，价格可能还会走高。 ( [9 R/ Q5 B; T7 U8 i) s+ y- N2 W& C
1 \% p5 q' \, z. g' x6 g7 J加密金融服务公司Galaxy Digital的研究主管亚历克斯·索恩(Alex Thorn)说：“这次反弹让很多感兴趣4 j" {4 [% T0 o0 t+ l! }0 `3 A
! m- y9 [ P- J0 P; Y) b4 W的人离场观望，他们可能会随后参与进来。虽然最近已经大幅上涨，但比特币仍有继续上涨的空间。” - s! g3 ^1 ^- z& t
6 l$ X8 l2 w) W数字资产基金ProChain Capital总裁兼联合创始人大卫·塔威尔(David Tawil)预计，比特币将持续反弹至( V* f9 c9 G/ v3 d$ b5 k
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今年年底，比特币ETF获批时，价格达到4.7万美元的高位。
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