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[lastpost] => 2800074 比特币重夺主导地位，而山寨币在谨慎情绪下表现疲软（转） 1769250187 右耳
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川普在一天前还强调不暂停关税，但迅速“食言” 仅对天朝加征125%关税仍执行，对其它国家的关税先暂停90天，仅保留10%的基础关税。1 n$ E* ~3 S; B7 i) `
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这为市场带来积极动力，部分机构下调美国经济衰退预测。7 ~3 T5 r1 j' G% k$ L4 Q
然而，即便这10%的基础关税，也已是2024年平均关税的四倍，加之25%的进口汽车及零件关税，对美国通胀压力大。通胀主要由房租、二手车
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R" y" F4 G1 b4 ?# _和服务业构成，进口车及零件涨价或推高二手车价格，加剧通胀。9 \3 n$ U1 Z% d) e
C& c P, d8 L; ]9 i' J4 d4 C2 w$ U5月的CPI、PCE数据难以反映全面影响，今天消息看维持90天正好到6月结束 实际上大A与币圈美股呈反周期，这两三个月大A应该也是会有个牛
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% b' M7 u4 ?2 h S" }/ o* {5 }9 z市启动前的黄金坑，美联储纪要显示暂无提前降息意图，仍依赖未来就业与经济数据。
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今天的买入情绪还是不错的，上次在乌龙事件的时候我们就说过，用户有钱，只是不敢随便的下场，但这次关税暂时缓解，甚至是衰退都有可能; K$ L/ N& R w& \8 [
1 o! @( j1 g8 U1 Z延后，就有部分投资者原因博弈一下。
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如果你没吃到比特币这波超8%的快拉，真的没必要自责。 这波行情本来就不在技术图里。 纯粹是懂王一句话，情绪直接点火。9 N! Q, |# v) W I" E- @ Y
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- Z0 q; t v; F8 P: x) G; p从数据上来看市场反弹带来小幅换手上升，BTC主力换手方为短期投资者，而长期筹码仍在观望中。83,000美元附近形成新的筹码密% A% [9 u& j" Y N& C" t
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集区形成“筑底”雏形。93,000 - 98,000美元区间的投资者非常稳健，仅有极少量换手，即便BTC回撤到74,000美元也未恐慌，说明该区目' u# d4 k y' Q8 }) N' ^
. G* h9 g$ [6 G/ X6 _前并无强压。
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