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[lastpost] => 2818100 XRP 设下熊市陷阱，柴犬牛市确认；如果这波行情发生，以太坊能守住 20zh00 美元吗.... 1774661019 龙飞凤舞789
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川普在一天前还强调不暂停关税，但迅速“食言” 仅对天朝加征125%关税仍执行，对其它国家的关税先暂停90天，仅保留10%的基础关税。
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这为市场带来积极动力，部分机构下调美国经济衰退预测。1 z# e' a9 p; q8 \% K8 W' [
然而，即便这10%的基础关税，也已是2024年平均关税的四倍，加之25%的进口汽车及零件关税，对美国通胀压力大。通胀主要由房租、二手车+ Q& w5 M8 p1 F2 {
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和服务业构成，进口车及零件涨价或推高二手车价格，加剧通胀。
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5月的CPI、PCE数据难以反映全面影响，今天消息看维持90天正好到6月结束 实际上大A与币圈美股呈反周期，这两三个月大A应该也是会有个牛
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市启动前的黄金坑，美联储纪要显示暂无提前降息意图，仍依赖未来就业与经济数据。: f1 G0 k$ z; `& M* d$ B& @
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今天的买入情绪还是不错的，上次在乌龙事件的时候我们就说过，用户有钱，只是不敢随便的下场，但这次关税暂时缓解，甚至是衰退都有可能! r: z) ]6 P) H0 ?4 {, R5 M
7 a' q( Y; M, T6 ? W( i) v2 ?$ z4 \( P延后，就有部分投资者原因博弈一下。
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: V* P: P. U+ `如果你没吃到比特币这波超8%的快拉，真的没必要自责。 这波行情本来就不在技术图里。 纯粹是懂王一句话，情绪直接点火。; K4 V/ d0 e5 f7 n9 z( S' B- [
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: ]3 C( v0 l8 ~6 l从数据上来看市场反弹带来小幅换手上升，BTC主力换手方为短期投资者，而长期筹码仍在观望中。83,000美元附近形成新的筹码密$ w( e4 b( U5 p) ^+ x% u8 e7 S
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集区形成“筑底”雏形。93,000 - 98,000美元区间的投资者非常稳健，仅有极少量换手，即便BTC回撤到74,000美元也未恐慌，说明该区目
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9 |8 c6 ]* L# n& L/ S前并无强压。
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