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[虚拟币交流]
从「代币幻想」到「收入现实」,加密投资逻辑正经历残酷转向
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彭博社发文表示,加密资产价格的暴跌与市场兼并浪潮的涌现,揭示了加密行业的问题,它曾在投机热潮中蓬勃发展,却难以构建可持续的、能产生实际收入的业务。如今,加密风投正被推向更传统的初创企业逻辑:产品与市场匹配、盈利能力和长期用户留存。( a( Q" I% k& s8 V: X# l$ H
9 x* f3 s8 \9 p5 P6 N尽管面临白宫的亲加密立场和宽松的监管环境,但作为代币驱动风投逻辑曾经的飞轮——散户需求已然枯竭。原生的加密基金正转向市场中表现更好的领域,包括稳定币基础设施和链上预测市场,同时部分基金也在向金融科技和人工智能等相邻领域拓展。但随着传统机构不断进军,仅具备原生加密专业知识已远远不够。' I: E; u+ Y' M# z, X t% F0 r
' e3 ?6 D% `3 Q( ^# R「市场正在围绕真正有效的东西进行整合,」加密货币私募股权公司 Inversion 的创始人兼首席执行官 Santiago Roel Santos 表示。「作为一个类别,Web3 目前很大程度上不具备投资价值。人们已经远离了 NFT、游戏,以及那些仅为存在而生的、缺乏创新的下一个 DeFi 平台。即使是握有资金的加密原生风投,也在大力转向金融科技、稳定币和预测市场。其他一切都在艰难地争取关注。」+ e! C, y) d K$ z- `6 }7 c
% q, Y1 `/ T& D3 K2 c$ M$ o" C像 Mechanism Capital 和 Tangent 这样的原生加密基金已开始将重点转向深度科技领域,包括投资 Apptronik 和 Figure 等机器人初创公司,这标志着投资重心已从加密核心领域偏移。
7 {3 @1 D# c l' n c+ l; [' d/ L6 m+ z) r) j; J Q
基金们正在从 NFT、Web3 社交平台和区块链游戏等高风险的押注中抽身,这些曾定义了早期周期的投机性叙事。如今被关注的指标——收入、用户留存和付费意愿在早期的周期中常常被忽视,当时叙事热度、代币流动性和市场份额成了衡量项目吸引力的替代品。# L4 }5 U! f! s- r+ W" f
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Portal Ventures 的普通合伙人 Catrina Wang 表示,这导致一些原生加密风投开始向金融科技或人工智能领域扩张。
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1 f% C7 ^# r1 ~% `3 \) G* U I「如果接下来看到更多基金悄悄关闭或缩减规模,我一点也不会感到惊讶,」风险基金 Dragonfly 的普通合伙人 Tom Schmidt 表示。「它们还面临着传统风投在 Web 2.5 领域对最热门交易的激烈竞争。」, ^/ t" H9 c$ u! f8 h
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现在市场真是冷暖自知,以前吹上天的代币项目,最后还得靠实实在在的盈利逻辑吃饭 |
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