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[lastpost] => 2808084 币安币回血起来还是很快的啦 1771670177 舞出精彩
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当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 7419 小时
本月在线: 35 小时
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最近，币安出售了约80亿美元的加密资产储备，引发了市场的广泛讨论。市场普遍认为，币安的加密资产抛售只是常规操作，目的在于计提利润。然而，事实似乎并非如此简单。& G) Q- ^ f* h2 }* o
8 z2 K( c1 j. r1 M o. x$ W" f首先，此次套现规模高达80亿美元，超过了2024年2月11亿美元的7倍之多。如此大规模的资产抛售，可能有两大原因：一是美化财务报表，二是进行大规模的股东权益分配。前者或为股权融资或股权转让做准备，后者可能涉及重要股东的套现行为。
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其次，减持后，币安的BTC持仓量从46,896枚减少至2,747枚，降幅高达94.1%；ETH持仓量则从216,313枚锐减至175枚，降幅达到99.9%。清仓式减持压舱石资产，表明币安对未来的市场行情较为悲观。) C- z% b1 C% t; g1 V
" @& z, g; R; e: n( ]8 {* {值得注意的是，币安的大规模减持主要发生在1月份，这也为市场在2月初的闪崩提供了合理解释。然而，消息永远服务于资本的布局。在如此低迷的市场环境下，大肆渲染币安“跑路”的利空消息，其背后的意图已不言而喻。有意思的是，1月份被币安清仓的ETH，在2月份初被美股ETF大量抄底。* g; Z9 W5 ?6 H# y0 g- j
% _1 I5 Q4 }6 z' z在过去一年多的时间里，比特币的上涨主要得益于其作为新型储值媒介的崛起，而Solana的热度则是由PVP资金盘持续推动。尽管两者的参与群体不同，但它们都有一个共同点：上涨主要由资金驱动，而非技术创新。这导致本轮牛市中，依赖基本面的以太坊和山寨币表现不佳。然而，技术创新的速度难以预测，就像在DeepSeek诞生之前，市场几乎无人相信天朝能开发出性能接近但成本远低于ChatGPT的大模型。因此，尽管我们无法预测区块链0-1的突破会何时出现，在相对的低点买入并长期持有仍是明智的选择。3 v$ c' i+ A4 h# Y; @/ e, \- u! c* b9 c
' [3 Q9 h' s% N在2月3日的暴跌中，ETH兑BTC汇率一度触及0.0237，创下近5年来的新低，价格几乎回到2020年牛市启动前的水平。如果从2022年9月1日计算，ETH兑BTC至今已经累计下跌了73%。这种级别的跌幅历史上仅有2018年-2019年出现过。但此次下跌之后便是中期大底。
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尽管L2的分配制度存在一些小瑕疵，同时以太坊基金会的表现也被认为不够积极，但这些并未动摇以太坊的核心竞争力。到目前为止，ETH的基本面依然稳中有进。
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自2023年11月以来，无论ETH价格如何波动，以太坊网络的TVL（总价值锁仓）始终保持稳步增长。即便在1月31日至2月3日暴跌期间，以太坊网络的TVL也未出现明显下跌。这表明，以太坊网络的长期需求增长（无需任何补贴）依然存在，而当前的低迷主要是由于行业总需求不足。2 c- H4 }0 M2 f9 v: ~3 b6 g
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当前离线
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天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 3080 小时
本月在线: 30 小时
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当前离线
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天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 357 小时
本月在线: 26 小时
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当前离线
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天策币:
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策小分:
总在线: 19689 小时
本月在线: 58 小时
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( e, h/ K, V' s6 R
目前来看啊，主要是大势不对劲儿了哟 |
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当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 19689 小时
本月在线: 58 小时
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当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 13713 小时
本月在线: 40 小时
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当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 84 小时
本月在线: 13 小时
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80亿砸盘确实狠，ETH这波怕是要阴跌很久，持币的稳住别慌。 |
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