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开贴讨论罗马尼亚这场比赛，就当长夜漫漫胡侃乱聊了！
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粗略的看了一下这场比赛的盘口和基本资料，因为友谊赛基本不碰，这里有点初步的想法，这里就抛砖引玉了！
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; r9 g0 P9 z5 k, {0 w0 H3 T从友谊赛的情况来看，虽然两队的成绩都很烂，但是罗马尼亚比洪都拉斯更烂，虽然罗马尼亚的国际排名要高于洪都拉斯很多，但是对友谊赛来说，这个排名并不能证明什么，国足不刚刚赢了法兰西吗？: u- c8 V0 n* ^
4 W4 E+ G" N" T& R* w看看盘口
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澳门初盘就是半球盘，立博初盘是半球，后来降到平半盘，其他公司基本都是初盘半球，后来降盘到平半盘。
) ?, a8 |2 U2 S. r& c! e! v' a降盘的意图无非就是不看好上盘或者是诱下盘
1 ~$ m P( W/ S* X3 S9 n分开来说：
I2 o, ?" x0 C, f) o1.不看好上盘
' V3 Q& B- L( |9 Q% o判断庄家是不是真的不看好上盘，可以从大众心理来入手，两队的状态都很烂，但是罗马尼亚更烂，即使实力和排名都强于客队，在大众心理上来说上下盘的筹码差别应该不会太大，这种情况下，庄家如果真的是不看好上盘，降盘的情况下，一定会将部分筹码赶往下盘。那么我真的不看好上盘，我把筹码赶到下盘做什么？* ~) ]8 v: g; W# x% P/ {
2.诱下盘1 V' Y/ x3 d, M) N1 m* z) N' R
诱下盘，也就是说实际上是看好上盘的，这种情况下如上述第一点所说，筹码会倾向于下盘，达到了诱的目的。
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经过上述分析，判断庄家是在诱下盘。# w' o) e3 ]) E4 t9 B; `. R
这里还有一个特殊就是澳门，目前还维持在半球盘不动。后续观察吧！
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以上纯属个人观点，欢迎大家拍砖！ |
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[quote]其实亚盘一直有在造诱下盘的假象,欧赔洪都拉斯胜和平一直在降
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5 Z$ T+ @- r! V$ f- _ z3 c" H我现象洪都拉斯会赢盘0 x8 y+ Q1 p# m9 K; s( j+ C
[size=2][color=#999999]dodoken2 发表于 2010-6-6 00:28[/color] [url=http://www.tcelue.com/redirect.php?goto=findpost&pid=148064&ptid=58999]http://www.tcelue.com/images/common/back.gif[/url][/size][/quote]
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9 x" u0 l% l* j8 H9 E) x5 R 欧赔比较弱，可不可以理解为欧赔的胜和平在降也是一种诱？ |
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其实亚盘一直有在造诱下盘的假象,欧赔洪都拉斯胜和平一直在降
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; z- Q5 Q _/ k7 R9 ?0 x$ ]我现象洪都拉斯会赢盘 |
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[b]回复 [url=http://www.tcelue.com/redirect.php?goto=findpost&pid=148043&ptid=58999]2#[/url] [i]dodoken2[/i] [/b]6 t/ R4 z0 L+ p* }6 H
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还有5天就开幕了，也许保存实力避免受伤是球队的一种选择！ |
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个人看好洪都拉斯,洪都拉斯希望世界杯前开个门红,而罗马尼亚没有欲望 |
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