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[虚拟币资讯]
币世界余勋6.13 cpi不降反升 加息压力倍增 恰逢以太清算 短期不宜过于乐观
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没有断更、wx被环境限制、6.17恢复。
& A7 x1 @5 @7 ?9 ~8 p行情补充、
6 Q2 {4 {; z% B: V. f; n在6.11号、cpi超出预期、加息压力提升。 - p$ |9 z& b* @# @- e s
市场本就一蹶不振、恐慌抛压会提高。
1 P; r; u9 ?1 F" D3 H4 Y" ?1 K! Z关于疑问、一一回复。
( v/ y6 z9 A! \2 @$ n# h今天为何跌这么多，何时能抄底！ 0 H' m+ N& W' P, ^* B) Y& ?" `
/ j1 E/ z c! t首先就个人的主观来说、 : d5 ?" N( t8 ~6 Z$ z
对这个市场，余勋有着无比强烈的信仰。
5 H1 R" K! O `1 w- ?' g9 ^极度憧憬市场的未来！ 2 A' Q- T+ j) U1 Z$ v( T
但信仰在环境zc面前下，不值一提、
( B; B0 |8 j; k3 s+ p$ _8 k. p, z最不济，要明白一个道理。君子不立危墙之下、 7 `( d6 M) ~# Q( C r& P
而当下，或许就是市场最难度的阶段。
3 m2 P3 M; w$ a9 ^3 t i会不会过去、肯定会。但给一点时间。
. G4 `- d7 T% h. p! E& J* q& Y转点就在CPI稳定，或出现下降。 5 M; N5 v1 J6 K' G6 f3 e
其次出现降息，和停止抽水。 8 Z9 H2 X2 z$ Z1 n$ Q
（这是最精准的抄底时机，） ' Y- m, H% X, E9 I: M. [/ I" Q
为什么会跌、
0 e' u0 w9 b& j; ^7 c1 a* j! e( n+ V1cpi不降反升、加息压力提高。市场面临进一步抽水，或延长周期抽水。 8 ~5 }4 ^1 y0 E/ E, L* M6 m
2本月14-15议息，提前预判会更鹰派，提前消化。
: J/ o/ y( L4 K) Z" j; y3以太在1100-1250有近10亿借贷清算、
8 {& }& Y5 {. N7 V; D! r' |综上造成的下跌、
9 ^2 W: M& V# ~) C1 G% n# l这是一轮由膨胀问题带来的熊市、
- P* S, o0 M5 ?! f6 d也是21年放水大牛市的带来的反噬。 8 B% j3 ]& m# N. P- i* L/ K) i1 C% X
熊市不可言底、所有一切只能通过cpi可控。
9 V: _% @' A8 Q6 `0 H1 y$ X' @来决定行情是否好转。
$ x0 h+ W- U; h+ C至于短线、大饼单日跌幅达10%。 ; M9 S1 W6 y8 ~- J
在熊市阶段，出现暴力反弹，可能性为0. ) Z2 _: v' P) g% {. U4 q0 l
短线反弹即空，短期来看是硬道理。
! O# L0 Q) i+ {" }周二开始会议、cpi压力，绝对更是鹰派言论、 * Y# C' d8 Z8 y
那周一白盘、反弹就空。但不可追空、
. b% S! B& }" d- b+ {2 k看好近期，大饼形成超级支撑，与上月横盘一致。 . e+ Q7 p6 X6 f8 P
日内大饼反弹、 5 o- n: I3 V) ?* S5 n
26150高空 $ Y5 H4 ]& h+ \ ^2 d
26350补仓
& @6 u& d& @2 g& P' p26550防守 % X/ b$ @! k0 c4 _* @
目标25250-25000 破位24800 轻微下看
5 S% L& D5 M( v3 B以太反弹 ' c9 [5 C" |- Z
1380高空
! R1 B0 |! {! j" @3 ~/ u1400补仓
$ E- }# l" ~9 s6 y. {# _1420防守 3 r& e1 ]2 A6 ?5 k1 ]; N' s0 f
目标1320-1300、破位1280 轻微下看。
# {7 q: N. O5 b& M4 ~7 c附言、
* V( i% _6 J7 @7 s许多因牛市慕名而来，却惨败于熊市阶段。 - {" T# B* t$ I" Z, m c; S. [1 `
是正常现象， # B) E: _" @+ F
合格的交易者，会进行埋伏布局，现货也杜绝追涨杀跌。 ; z( Z6 `: ?7 E3 q
对于市场、依旧未来可期。
' w! z* ^4 f- b大饼的价值，纵使震荡再过剧烈。
4 ?5 t3 U) _+ p! _( R: ~上轮牛市高点69000.绝对不是终点。
2 D W* F) j& E8 g+ m# }5月的cpi或许数据不够理想、但增幅并未大幅提高。
v% k# ]" R; e, C( o2 F) d6月、已开始50基点，和抽水。 3 P/ l# L7 F% {) ^
相信七月公布时，会较理想。
; d# a5 ]) H( d9 k但现阶段，要承受的住。
$ }" T/ g( @& N+ C J最后再强调、现货勿割。
$ \: j: _. T8 @# B# e$ e25000的大饼 1300的以太、 : S8 k) C m' T9 h; ~2 K
个人斗胆一言，依旧是激进布局时机。 ! b& ]2 `4 p8 q9 Q! J9 Z; P
稳健可于7月cpi公布，再做考虑。 * v n8 w/ |; D8 t* R
这个市场， - _% |% H9 B4 B8 M& q
消息为首、情绪为辅、技术为次。 ' g' y1 H6 X' k3 F/ g
最后就是合理的仓位配置，及良好的心态。
! e9 T' V, a% ^切记学会消息分析，不与市场进行对立。 4 Y( J- Q4 Y/ \5 T
但也要杜绝操作忌讳的盲点，引以为戒。
$ C2 G3 W' q# H来源：金色财经 |
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