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上次分享了第一篇,这次继续来分享第二篇。
) p/ g7 r9 v+ r5 C* k! S% Y6 F$ b4 b. s a5 {6 T- T
5. 废话的不对称原则2 R* C9 M' G+ S6 K" `5 R O
反驳废话所需的能量比产生废话要大一个数量级。2 Z1 S! |) F; V! K
9 p% I0 |/ B( P5 O- U
回想: 写 luna 的优点=成千的点赞。) o) h* Q; d" G$ s" @7 V
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写 luna 的缺点=无数的敌人和谩骂。
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每个周期,都会有邪教类型的项目,人们无视核心,只因利益一致而拼死维护。# d" Z. Z' m' X. W7 ]
4 F9 [" _2 k0 a0 a4 D' a Q
而对抗它们需要太多的精力。
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x. T% W$ t5 x6.风险不可知原则(黑天鹅)" S( o' d9 n" s. i+ N
被知道的风险:智能合约漏洞。. ]1 E2 c, _1 w* H
5 O0 X. \9 _$ d/ b( F' T
不可知的风险:911、3箭崩溃等。6 R; t( k/ F d1 B
' s- R1 D& D z! C7 ~3 a5 ~& `" ^
因为不可知的风险一直存在,只有多样化才能防范。+ b2 T- a0 `) ^; [# H' O6 J }
0 H" A: A p/ P4 c. f* B想象一下罕见事件:
, }, A x _% k1 D# f
) [0 e( c6 F( X- k* r( i; j• 中本聪的钱包苏醒5 a' p* \0 h: K& Y. I
& U A9 U* ]: M+ M
• 核打击% U; Y1 G; L! O1 C! Z7 W6 |% v
" f! M9 r7 S" y. f4 N5 p我们倾向于低估黑天鹅的影响!
1 |$ N) |3 `4 J" U% f1 O& C+ l" Z% g" n
7.二八定律$ q) c% n) w$ U2 A
在币圈:! U7 W# S( l7 v/ A
" e/ x3 ]8 p0 s, G8 u
80% 的收入来自 20% 的协议。( a. h* t5 @ ]; q. i
$ o' I* J9 T# `+ _1 ?; K80%的利润被20%的人拿走。
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我们大多数时候是8,而不是2,时刻警惕这一点。: K8 L9 L7 y( p$ H( @# v+ L
7 |- B) B" b0 |: T
8.网络效应
. X) B6 m# r% v& p. g: u7 v9 x产品随着更多用户加入而更有价值。
( y5 J) o4 \9 l6 ~' x
$ @' n) r+ [) q. q( P7 k& h想想脸书如果没人使用会有什么价值?0 B' Y' J- a! H7 U6 B7 o
# w$ f m, N% d% l6 g一个产品产生了网络效应,就成为了护城河。
7 H J d2 Y. B* ]: B
1 a1 P9 U4 F, |# T投资时,要考虑什么产品能产生护城河。 往往只有一个产品能获胜。. P) k0 g5 A8 l3 Y0 p8 h7 I, u) |
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