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1 v! J; V" I9 O2 y比特币最近甚至大幅跑赢了自10月底以来一直走高的道琼斯工业平均指数和标普500指数。
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监管机构有望很快批准首只现货比特币交易所交易基金(ETF)是比特币上涨背后的主要推动力，+ I0 E6 Y, {' c5 T) C
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专家预测，这将引发投资者对数字资产的新一轮兴趣。 , N; j- m/ [8 m; |0 v. b
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有关美联储明年将多次降息的预期升温也给比特币带来提振，利率下降通常利好比特币和科技+ e9 `% i. R# {
5 j, y& v, h1 C- \' x股等风险较高的投资。 , f& @% \+ X5 s
& U8 O" C2 |3 Z, c0 p) V芝加哥商品交易所(CME)的美联储观察(FedWatch)工具显示，联邦基金期货交易员预计，美联储
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明年3月降息25个基点的概率超过50%，高于一周前的21.5%。 % |/ A7 T3 e6 T1 B
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现在的问题是，比特币接下来会怎么走？除了供应和需求之外，比特别几乎没有什么基本面驱动' x, r' M+ \# b y5 b0 Z' c
- l( W( y* J& S0 h* d因素，但分析人士认为，比特币还有更大的上涨空间。
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$ I8 \: g' E3 m$ [& b' f从技术面来看，比特币在过去被证明波动非常大的一个区间内拥有上涨动能。 : @& D9 D5 V2 @" h' [
7 A5 z' c) Z1 g# Z0 B1 U( R7 @更广泛地来看，虽然比特币有进入超买区域的风险，但交易数据显示，交易量仍然相对低迷，因此* Y6 G& e7 R$ ?, {& x& U; n
" k$ Z! c, _& p, E仍有许多交易商可能买入。
' C/ K" t. c* z! f, ]1 h. h# o, F. C3 Y# c& o2 w* E( G9 ~! Z& g
库普齐克维奇说：“越来越多的投资者会因为‘害怕错过’(FOMO)而买入。”FOMO是加密货币最强大的( [8 t- X8 n4 w* P
. y* @ c. |% _/ G6 v推动力之一。
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- W2 k5 K% C4 n有证据显示，许多散户和机构交易员仍在离场观望，近期的上涨可能会吸引更多人买入。 ) H6 z0 S9 p6 u$ K+ Z
8 v# u$ d4 H. l6 V* {需求增加的同时，比特币供应紧张——许多长期持有者不愿卖出，价格可能还会走高。
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# j' m0 J% A- ^, ]' e/ F; U" ]加密金融服务公司Galaxy Digital的研究主管亚历克斯·索恩(Alex Thorn)说：“这次反弹让很多感兴趣
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的人离场观望，他们可能会随后参与进来。虽然最近已经大幅上涨，但比特币仍有继续上涨的空间。”
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m# U/ S: q1 z. p t数字资产基金ProChain Capital总裁兼联合创始人大卫·塔威尔(David Tawil)预计，比特币将持续反弹至0 @5 W9 } P- F$ m: t! F
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今年年底，比特币ETF获批时，价格达到4.7万美元的高位。 5 g& p8 O( `3 c/ m
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