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[虚拟币交流]
Fed暗示2024降息三次！比特币冲破4.3万美元（14日转）
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美国联准会(Fed)在9、11月连续两次暂停升息后，于今(14)日凌晨3点释出的FOMC声明! h) a+ w8 S9 I& j5 m# v' a% ?' H
中，三度维持联邦基准利率在5.25%~5.50%区间不变，一如市场此前预期。
8 ?4 M2 m% b: t3 X" K0 m3 |且令投资者兴奋的事，主席鲍威尔(Powell)透露降息也已进入Fed视野。) L. {8 L4 i( U4 @
官员预计：2024将降息3次4 r8 q! ~, w! v3 N
虽然Fed在FOMC声明中仍强调实现2%的通货膨胀率是其最终目标，但最新的经济数据表明，经济增长较第三季# U( Z4 r9 f- [8 c
度有所放缓，就业依然保持强劲、失业率也维持在较低水平。因此，联准会官员在决定维持利率不变的同时，也" u* @% L" ?) D$ b) P
已经开始讨论降息的时机。
% ~5 C+ o( r0 h9 r3 E: o8 O主席鲍威尔表示：这将是我们展望未来的一个主题，Fed官员预计明年将三次降息25个基点，这将推动市场大幅
( b2 N- z* M; B( c. {! x走高。( v$ I9 L) |. E7 R x6 Q* N
且根据利率点阵图，联准会官员还预计将在2025年再降息四次，他们相信，将不再需要通过提高利率的方式来缓& C- I H" R1 [
解CPI压力，因为到今年年底，通膨率将放缓至2.8%，2024年底则将降至2.4%。
% o! \+ \: f; G9 }" b9 \* [比特币冲破4.3万
+ s9 @5 H/ T6 T: Y) @受到Fed宣布不加息、并透露明年考虑降息的激励下，比特币在今(14)晨六点最高来到43,475美元。2 P0 n& K! @$ x4 x, d
截稿前略有回落，报42,773美元/近24小时涨幅为3.2%。! X' A9 T8 P) i' u- X* k7 ?3 j
以太坊同样呈现上涨趋势，稍早最高攀上2284美元，截稿前报2,255美元/近24小时涨幅为2.3%。: [. [; W- C' H5 m G0 m; _
美股四大指数齐扬
& i4 ^0 A5 _. Y; i3 L' E* s回到美股方面，表现也相当亮眼，四大指数齐涨、道指更是创下历史新高：
# v9 w5 g1 ~7 O7 B# L9 j* l; r道琼工业指数：上涨512.3点(1.4%)，收37090.24点
- w) w! W6 R9 Y* I5 h2 s纳斯达克指数：上涨200.57点(1.38%)，收14733.96点" f |9 D; E" ?' l# V& [
标普500指数：上涨63.39点(1.37%)，收4707.09点/ z$ e2 N- |) p+ B7 T
费城半导体指数：上涨60.77点(1.55%)，收3990.95点
* {. r3 \" P: F美国10年债殖利率跌破4%4 S9 \2 K! F) H" A! p: t" t/ o5 X
另外美国10年期公债殖利率也呈现较剧烈的下跌，撰稿时跌破4%。7 H& @' o+ i8 o4 o
被誉为「新债券天王」的双线资本(Double Line)创办人Jeffrey Gundlach就预测，美国10年期公债殖利率明年将' J- ?! \, ]5 u& N1 ^7 l
跌到更接近3%水平。4 L+ t2 K1 L, [; w2 V+ O
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